Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream

$78.9K Vol
Jul 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Atlanta Dream 75.5%
Los Angeles Sparks 24.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 34.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $78.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 (34.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 35¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $11 in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.534.5%$1135¢66¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 13 at 7:00PM ET:

If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks".

If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 currently trades at 34.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 1%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -33.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.534.5%1.0%-33.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 13, 2026

  • 08:17 AM
    KIkikomarkets
    $250.00

    Bought 480.769229 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5) at 0.52

  • 08:17 AM
    0X0x8d10b39465225d7a881b56b4Af8354997f0C940A-1767024582634
    $5.42

    Bought 10.42 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5) at 0.52

  • 08:16 AM
    0X0x8d10b39465225d7a881b56b4Af8354997f0C940A-1767024582634
    $5.20

    Bought 10.196077 Under for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5 at 0.51

  • 08:16 AM
    KIkikomarkets
    $250.00

    Bought 490.196077 Under for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5 at 0.51

  • 07:58 AM
    NINickkirton
    $19.09

    Bought 30.784031 Over for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5 at 0.62

  • 07:52 AM
    FIfindyour3oal
    $1.80

    Bought 4.864863 No for Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 at 0.37

  • 07:35 AM
    NINickkirton
    $26.00

    Bought 42.622948 Over for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5 at 0.61

  • 06:44 AM
    BRBrodel
    $14.80

    Sold 20 Atlanta Dream for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream at 0.74

  • 06:41 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $22.95

    Bought 45 Over for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5 at 0.51

  • 05:44 AM
    DEdeezylabs
    $20.27

    Bought 27.02 Atlanta Dream for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream at 0.75

  • 05:31 AM
    0X0x085a46dB0dD1A3c90806f2e61b9268f81DE158A8-1778876424007
    $25.00

    Bought 40.983605 Over for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5 at 0.61

  • 05:28 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921567 Over for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5 at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

BC1
0xBc43…7816
Event PnL
+$611.24
Volume
$57,735.77
Positions
Atlanta DreamAtlanta DreamAtlanta Dream
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$27.59
Volume
$7,531.41
Positions
Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles SparksOver+3
DO3
double6
Event PnL
-$33.60
Volume
$6,720.00
Positions
Los Angeles Sparks
BI4
BillBenter2026
Event PnL
-$32.00
Volume
$6,400.00
Positions
Los Angeles Sparks
SA5
samostan1990
Event PnL
-$91.37
Volume
$6,091.58
Positions
Los Angeles Sparks
ID6
IdentityV
Event PnL
-$67.96
Volume
$4,530.99
Positions
Los Angeles Sparks
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$25.77
Volume
$4,393.52
Positions
Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks+3
WE8
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
Event PnL
+$6.21
Volume
$2,998.15
Positions
Atlanta DreamOverUnder+3

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream"?

As of the latest update, Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 34.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $78.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 34.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 1%, a negative EV Gap of -33.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Get Started