Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks

$302K Vol
Jul 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Los Angeles Sparks 66.5%
Chicago Sky 33.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 180.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,450% chance of winning. O/U 176.5 follows in second place at 9,300%, while O/U 179.5 sits in third with 9,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $302K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 180.5 (9,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 180.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 176.5 (9,300%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 176.5 maintains a 9,300% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,300¢.
  • O/U 179.5 (9,250%): Sitting in third place with a 9,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 179.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 178.5 (8,700%), O/U 177.5 (7,500%), and Spread -2.5 (6,700%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 180.59450.0%$2.8K9450¢-9350¢
2O/U 176.59300.0%$52.9K9300¢-9200¢
3O/U 179.59250.0%$3.7K9250¢-9150¢
4O/U 178.58700.0%$5.7K8700¢-8600¢
5O/U 177.57500.0%$6.1K7500¢-7400¢
6Spread -2.56700.0%$7.9K6700¢-6600¢
7Spread -1.56400.0%$10.1K6400¢-6300¢
8Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 17.55000.0%$385000¢-4900¢
9Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Rae Burrell: Points O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Dearica Hamby: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.55000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
19Dearica Hamby: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Azurá Stevens: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks3250.0%$214.6K3250¢-3150¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 10 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Sky".

If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 10, 2026

  • 08:01 PM
    GNgnuisnot
    $8.52

    Bought 18.52 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5) at 0.46

  • 08:01 PM
    GNgnuisnot
    $2.80

    Bought 5 Under for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5 at 0.56

  • 07:22 PM
    0X0x4f5BdB579d7986795d031e0ae53184453c6FD902-1781525424243
    $2.80

    Bought 5.283017 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:21 PM
    HIhibame69
    $24.08

    Bought 45.433961 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:20 PM
    0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173912 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5) at 0.46

  • 07:16 PM
    0X0x2e14E02C02CEb5B6e0600b4d4dA2E881d60f2cC7-1782676444346
    $2.24

    Bought 4.226414 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:13 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 10.20408 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 07:13 PM
    $347.43

    Bought 709.040815 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 07:02 PM
    0X0x3564066a9173d591B36aE4924597EA628915c4CE-1781397572133
    $14.00

    Bought 26.415093 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:02 PM
    LUluke2255
    $2.24

    Bought 4.226414 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:02 PM
    MAmatanlevi
    $1.68

    Bought 3.16981 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:02 PM
    SCscale.biz
    $8.40

    Bought 15.849055 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MO1
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$124.32
Volume
$35,307.66
Positions
Los Angeles Sparks
LP2
lpcapital1
Event PnL
-$181.58
Volume
$9,304.48
Positions
Chicago Sky
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$56.75
Volume
$8,859.67
Positions
Chicago SkyLos Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks
QU4
QuentinChen
Event PnL
-$40.00
Volume
$7,999.98
Positions
Chicago Sky
AN5
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$208.73
Volume
$6,615.98
Positions
Los Angeles Sparks
SH6
shxbyron1
Event PnL
-$31.41
Volume
$6,282.48
Positions
Chicago Sky
WA7
wapol
Event PnL
+$99.03
Volume
$6,187.59
Positions
Los Angeles SparksOverUnder
SE8
sentrio
Event PnL
+$126.20
Volume
$4,423.35
Positions
Los Angeles Sparks

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks"?

As of the latest update, O/U 180.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,450% win probability, followed by O/U 176.5 at 9,300% and O/U 179.5 at 9,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $302K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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