What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of July 6 2026?

Jul 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
↑ $442.50 50.0%
↑ $435 50.0%
↑ $427.50 50.0%
↑ $420 50.0%
↑ $412.50 50.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of July 6 2026?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, ↑ $442.50 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. ↑ $435 follows in second place at 5,000%, while ↑ $427.50 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • ↑ $442.50 (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, ↑ $442.50 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • ↑ $435 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, ↑ $435 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • ↑ $427.50 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward ↑ $427.50, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes ↑ $420 (5,000%), ↑ $412.50 (5,000%), and ↑ $405 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like ↑ $397.50 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1↑ $442.505000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2↑ $4355000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3↑ $427.505000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4↑ $4205000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5↑ $412.505000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6↑ $4055000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7↑ $397.505000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8↓ $3905000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9↓ $382.505000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10↓ $3755000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11↓ $367.505000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12↓ $3605000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13↓ $352.505000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14↓ $3455000.0%5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of July 6 2026?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of July 6 2026?"?

As of the latest update, ↑ $442.50 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by ↑ $435 at 5,000% and ↑ $427.50 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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