Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

Jan 1, 2027
Active
Probability Trend
No 57.0%
Yes 43.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, No is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,700% chance of winning. Yes follows in second place at 4,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • No (5,700%): Currently commanding the highest probability, No is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,700¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Yes (4,300%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Yes maintains a 4,300% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,300¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1No5700.0%5700¢-5600¢
2Yes4300.0%4300¢-4200¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?"?

As of the latest update, No leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,700% win probability, followed by Yes at 4,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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