WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Rebecca Cooke is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,700% chance of winning. Emily Berge follows in second place at 4,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• Rebecca Cooke (4,700%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Rebecca Cooke is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,700¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• Emily Berge (4,300%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Emily Berge maintains a 4,300% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,300¢.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.