Who Will Max Holloway Fight Next?

Jan 1, 1
Resolved
Probability Trend
Justin Gaethje 50.0%
Ilia Topuria 50.0%
Conor McGregor 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Who Will Max Holloway Fight Next?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Justin Gaethje is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Ilia Topuria follows in second place at 5,000%, while Conor McGregor sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Justin Gaethje (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Justin Gaethje is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Ilia Topuria (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Ilia Topuria maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Conor McGregor (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Conor McGregor, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Justin Gaethje5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Ilia Topuria5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Conor McGregor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by July 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Who Will Max Holloway Fight Next?"?

As of the latest update, Justin Gaethje leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Ilia Topuria at 5,000% and Conor McGregor at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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