What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in August 2026?

Jan 1, 1
Resolved
Probability Trend
↓ $255 50.5%
↑ $405 50.0%
↑ $390 50.0%
↑ $375 50.0%
↑ $360 50.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in August 2026?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, ↓ $255 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. ↑ $405 follows in second place at 5,000%, while ↑ $390 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • ↓ $255 (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, ↓ $255 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • ↑ $405 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, ↑ $405 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • ↑ $390 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward ↑ $390, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes ↑ $375 (5,000%), ↑ $360 (5,000%), and ↑ $345 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like ↑ $330 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1↓ $2555050.0%5050¢-4950¢
2↑ $4055000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3↑ $3905000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4↑ $3755000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5↑ $3605000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6↑ $3455000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7↑ $3305000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8↑ $3155000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9↓ $3005000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10↓ $2705000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11↓ $2405000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12↓ $2255000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13↓ $2105000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14↓ $2854950.0%4950¢-4850¢

Result Rules

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in August 2026?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in August 2026?"?

As of the latest update, ↓ $255 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,050% win probability, followed by ↑ $405 at 5,000% and ↑ $390 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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