
What price will Ethereum hit on July 1?
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What price will Ethereum hit on July 1?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, ↑ 1,650 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 1,950% chance of winning. ↓ 1,550 follows in second place at 230%, while ↑ 1,700 sits in third with 210%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $81.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- ↑ 1,650 (1,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, ↑ 1,650 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 1,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $11.9K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- ↓ 1,550 (230%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, ↓ 1,550 maintains a 230% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 230¢.
- ↑ 1,700 (210%): Sitting in third place with a 210% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward ↑ 1,700, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes ↓ 1,450 (60%), ↓ 1,500 (50%), and ↑ 1,750 (40%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like ↑ 1,900 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↑ 1,650 | 1950.0% | $11.9K | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 2 | ↓ 1,550 | 230.0% | $1.5K | 230¢ | -130¢ |
| 3 | ↑ 1,700 | 210.0% | $6.6K | 210¢ | -110¢ |
| 4 | ↓ 1,450 | 60.0% | $29.8K | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 5 | ↓ 1,500 | 50.0% | $17.2K | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 6 | ↑ 1,750 | 40.0% | $2.3K | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 7 | ↑ 1,900 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 8 | ↑ 1,850 | 5.0% | $5 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 9 | ↑ 1,800 | 5.0% | $2.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 10 | ↓ 1,400 | 5.0% | $9.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 11 | ↓ 1,350 | 5.0% | $5 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 12 | ↓ 1,300 | 5.0% | $5 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 13 | ↓ 1,250 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
What price will Ethereum hit on July 1?
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jul 1, 2026
- 08:59 PMTHTHOMASDD$270.81
Bought 270.812333 No for Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on July 1? at 1
- 08:57 PM0X0x7bE60b43b9DA7Fb35e0Af0a8025c1Dc64027C63E-1778160294035$5.01
Bought 5.005005 No for Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on July 1? at 1
- 08:52 PMBRBrooklyn4695$11.91
Bought 11.91191 No for Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on July 1? at 1
- 08:46 PM0X0x1B2A64C98a10d464E2f893f74BD76D89d917160D-1778767771300$27.78
Bought 2777.777776 Yes for Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on July 1? at 0.01
- 08:46 PM0X0x1B2A64C98a10d464E2f893f74BD76D89d917160D-1778767771300$22.73
Bought 2272.727271 Yes for Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on July 1? at 0.01
- 08:17 PMGIGianna2506$18.11
Sold 18.11 No for Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on July 1? at 1
- 08:16 PMINinvestor-shaman$46.00
Bought 51.11111 No for Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on July 1? at 0.9
- 08:14 PMABabattoir$50.00
Bought 50 No for Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on July 1? at 1
- 08:11 PMGIGianna2506$18.12
Bought 18.118117 No for Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on July 1? at 1
- 08:07 PMMAMadeline1568$10.81
Bought 10.810809 No for Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on July 1? at 1
- 07:57 PMCHChristine4541$29.73
Bought 29.729728 No for Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on July 1? at 1
- 07:41 PM0X0x7F46B77Bd212262E173c3d9683Be8A5C40Ac4c19-1762886482844$15.22
Bought 15.215214 No for Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on July 1? at 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "What price will Ethereum hit on July 1?"?
As of the latest update, ↑ 1,650 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 1,950% win probability, followed by ↓ 1,550 at 230% and ↑ 1,700 at 210%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $81.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
