
What price will Bitcoin hit on June 30?
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What price will Bitcoin hit on June 30?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, ↓ 58,000 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,700% chance of winning. ↑ 60,000 follows in second place at 2,650%, while ↓ 57,000 sits in third with 2,600%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $248.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- ↓ 58,000 (6,700%): Currently commanding the highest probability, ↓ 58,000 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,700¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $38.3K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- ↑ 60,000 (2,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, ↑ 60,000 maintains a 2,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 2,650¢.
- ↓ 57,000 (2,600%): Sitting in third place with a 2,600% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward ↓ 57,000, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes ↓ 56,000 (725%), ↑ 61,000 (450%), and ↓ 55,000 (315%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like ↑ 62,000 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↓ 58,000 | 6700.0% | $38.3K | 6700¢ | -6600¢ |
| 2 | ↑ 60,000 | 2650.0% | $8.6K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 3 | ↓ 57,000 | 2600.0% | $39.3K | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 4 | ↓ 56,000 | 725.0% | $19.0K | 725¢ | -625¢ |
| 5 | ↑ 61,000 | 450.0% | $40.3K | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 6 | ↓ 55,000 | 315.0% | $26.9K | 315¢ | -215¢ |
| 7 | ↑ 62,000 | 105.0% | $24.8K | 105¢ | -5¢ |
| 8 | ↓ 53,000 | 35.0% | $7.8K | 35¢ | 65¢ |
| 9 | ↓ 54,000 | 30.0% | $4.1K | 30¢ | 70¢ |
| 10 | ↑ 63,000 | 25.0% | $5.9K | 25¢ | 75¢ |
| 11 | ↑ 64,000 | 20.0% | $1.6K | 20¢ | 80¢ |
| 12 | ↑ 66,000 | 15.0% | $362 | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 13 | ↑ 65,000 | 15.0% | $12 | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 14 | ↓ 52,000 | 15.0% | $253 | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 15 | ↑ 67,000 | 10.0% | $380 | 10¢ | 90¢ |
Result Rules
What price will Bitcoin hit on June 30?
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "What price will Bitcoin hit on June 30?"?
As of the latest update, ↓ 58,000 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,700% win probability, followed by ↑ 60,000 at 2,650% and ↓ 57,000 at 2,600%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $248.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
