Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

$216.1K Vol
Jul 25, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
XLG Gaming 100.0%
TYLOO 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $216.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 (9,995%), Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (9,995%), and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,995%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)9995.0%$1.9K9995¢-9895¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.59995.0%$1079995¢-9895¢
3Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5)9995.0%$4709995¢-9895¢
4Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.59995.0%$209995¢-9895¢
5Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.59995.0%$709995¢-9895¢
6Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59995.0%$709995¢-9895¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55050.0%$815050¢-4950¢
8Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%$725000¢-4900¢
9Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Map 3 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5)4950.0%$5134950¢-4850¢
12Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.520.0%20¢80¢
13Map 1 Winner5.0%$26.6K95¢
14Map 2 Winner5.0%$54.7K95¢
15Match Winner5.0%$146.5K95¢
16O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$1.5K95¢
17Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55.0%95¢
18Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5)5.0%$59395¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Valorant Seeding match between TYLOO and XLG Gaming in the VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders, initially scheduled for July 25 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against XLG Gaming.

This market will resolve to "XLG Gaming" if XLG Gaming win the match against TYLOO.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 25, 2026

  • 08:04 AM
    RARahbinya
    $40.00

    Bought 72.727271 XLG Gaming for Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders at 0.55

  • 08:02 AM
    LMlmtscapt
    $212.80

    Bought 380 TYLOO for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) at 0.56

  • 08:00 AM
    NONottot
    $11.20

    Bought 20 TYLOO for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) at 0.56

  • 08:00 AM
    NONottot
    $11.20

    Bought 20 TYLOO for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) at 0.56

  • 08:00 AM
    NONottot
    $11.20

    Bought 20 TYLOO for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) at 0.56

  • 08:00 AM
    NONottot
    $11.20

    Bought 20 TYLOO for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) at 0.56

  • 08:00 AM
    NONottot
    $11.20

    Bought 20 TYLOO for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) at 0.56

  • 08:00 AM
    NONottot
    $11.20

    Bought 20 TYLOO for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) at 0.56

  • 08:00 AM
    NONottot
    $11.20

    Bought 20 TYLOO for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) at 0.56

  • 08:00 AM
    NONottot
    $11.20

    Bought 20 TYLOO for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) at 0.56

  • 08:00 AM
    NONottot
    $11.20

    Bought 20 TYLOO for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) at 0.56

  • 08:00 AM
    NONottot
    $11.20

    Bought 20 TYLOO for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) at 0.56

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

7F1
0x7FE8…0343
Event PnL
-$24,240.04
Volume
$50,694.52
Positions
TYLOO
JO2
joblessfinalboss
Event PnL
+$22,335.80
Volume
$47,022.35
Positions
XLG Gaming
OH3
ohehe
Event PnL
+$1,771.29
Volume
$8,745.16
Positions
XLG GamingXLG GamingXLG Gaming
SK4
skyman44
Event PnL
+$32.26
Volume
$7,055.92
Positions
XLG Gaming
DO5
double6
Event PnL
-$32.34
Volume
$6,470.13
Positions
TYLOO
FA6
fangfang123
Event PnL
+$1,025.43
Volume
$6,121.11
Positions
XLG GamingXLG GamingXLG Gaming
AL7
alpheclabs
Event PnL
-$919.09
Volume
$4,704.80
Positions
TYLOOTYLOOTYLOO
MA8
madoka123
Event PnL
+$2.07
Volume
$4,143.16
Positions
XLG Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders"?

As of the latest update, Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 at 9,995% and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $216.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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