
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Map 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 2.5 Games sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $160.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Map 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $26.5K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Match Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 2.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,995%), Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5) (9,000%), and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5) are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $26.5K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Match Winner | 9995.0% | $123.1K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Games | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 9995.0% | $50 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5) | 9000.0% | $134 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 6 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 7 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5) | 9000.0% | $47 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 8 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5) | 1000.0% | $65 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 10 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 1000.0% | $15 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 11 | Map 1 Winner | 5.0% | $10.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 12 | Map Handicap: NBG (-1.5) vs YFT Esports (+1.5) | 5.0% | $15 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 13 | Map Handicap: YFT (-1.5) vs Nightblood Gaming (+1.5) | 5.0% | $30 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Nightblood Gaming and YFT Esports in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 7:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Nightblood Gaming" if Nightblood Gaming win the match against YFT Esports.
This market will resolve to "YFT Esports" if YFT Esports win the match against Nightblood Gaming.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jul 2, 2026
- 08:33 PMDOdoglover4571$14.00
Bought 25 Nightblood Gaming for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.56
- 08:21 PMONOnly4fifa$1,763.45
Bought 3149.01 Nightblood Gaming for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.56
- 08:14 PMXIxiguawang$33.60
Bought 60 Nightblood Gaming for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.56
- 07:46 PMTEtestoooorr$6.00
Bought 13.333332 YFT Esports for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.45
- 07:45 PMCUcute2212$145.00
Bought 258.92857 Nightblood Gaming for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.56
- 07:23 PM0X0xF3328Fc3cAcbf33079146Aaad072590c4D49bFA6-1773549595863$1.00
Bought 1.785713 Nightblood Gaming for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.56
- 07:05 PMFOFortunaFelix$1.00
Bought 2.222221 YFT Esports for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.45
- 06:59 PM0X0xcF609D3256f0f37f0595E5Dc64012Fa3a8fEa6f5-1771809916847$3,485.18
Bought 6223.54 Nightblood Gaming for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.56
- 06:57 PMFOFortunateGambler$16.44
Bought 37.36 YFT Esports for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.44
- 06:56 PMCHchuubot$10.00
Bought 17.241378 Nightblood Gaming for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.58
- 06:44 PM0X0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465$5,787.50
Bought 14468.74 YFT Esports for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.4
- 06:44 PMALalpha5ii-copybestbot$4.95
Bought 11.25 YFT Esports for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.44
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, Map 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,995% and O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $160.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
