Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

$58.6K Vol
Jul 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
MIBR LOS 61.5%
Team Heretics 38.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,150% chance of winning. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 follows in second place at 6,050%, while Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 sits in third with 6,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $58.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (6,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $54.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (6,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 maintains a 6,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,050¢.
  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (6,050%): Sitting in third place with a 6,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (6,000%), Map 1 Winner (5,700%), and Map 2 Winner (5,650%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner6150.0%$54.7K6150¢-6050¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.56050.0%6050¢-5950¢
3Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.56050.0%6050¢-5950¢
4Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.56000.0%6000¢-5900¢
5Map 1 Winner5700.0%$535700¢-5600¢
6Map 2 Winner5650.0%$475650¢-5550¢
7Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54950.0%$754950¢-4850¢
8Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
10O/U 2.5 Games4600.0%4600¢-4500¢
11Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)4400.0%4400¢-4300¢
12Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
13Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)4200.0%$2484200¢-4100¢
14Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
15Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53600.0%3600¢-3500¢
16Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53600.0%3600¢-3500¢
17Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)3400.0%$3.5K3400¢-3300¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between MIBR LOS and Team Heretics in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 5 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "MIBR LOS" if MIBR LOS win the match against Team Heretics.

This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against MIBR LOS.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 5, 2026

  • 08:18 AM
    $2.42

    Bought 6.205127 Team Heretics for Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.39

  • 08:17 AM
    $3.84

    Bought 6.193547 MIBR LOS for Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.62

  • 08:17 AM
    WEwesquezz
    $53.32

    Sold 124 MIBR LOS for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5) at 0.43

  • 08:10 AM
    MAmalahala
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Team Heretics for Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 08:06 AM
    0X0xFce862243C0612E0bac32a3897E002fa91Fe2686-1777287554404
    $20.13

    Bought 30.497876 Team Heretics for Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.66

  • 08:04 AM
    MAmalahala
    $1.00

    Bought 1.53846 Team Heretics for Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 08:02 AM
    0X0x57b258499f7A4cfC5043ceae57A51f7e6f529Da2-1779737456696
    $304.00

    Bought 475 Team Heretics for Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 07:43 AM
    $4.55

    Bought 11.666665 Team Heretics for Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.39

  • 07:36 AM
    SUsuntori
    $4.85

    Bought 12.435896 Team Heretics for Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.39

  • 07:25 AM
    OVovertimemarkets.xyz-singles
    $1.85

    Sold 5 MIBR LOS for Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 07:23 AM
    MImirabu
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5873 Team Heretics for Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.63

  • 07:22 AM
    OVovertimemarkets.xyz-singles
    $110.26

    Sold 298 MIBR LOS for Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.37

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,150% win probability, followed by Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 at 6,050% and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 at 6,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $58.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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