Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

$6 Vol
Jul 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Paper Rex 81.5%
Karmine Corp 18.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,600% chance of winning. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 follows in second place at 5,050%, while Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $6, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) (6,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) (5,000%), Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) (5,000%), and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)6600.0%6600¢-6500¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
3Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
13Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5)4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
14O/U 2.5 Games4600.0%4600¢-4500¢
15Map 1 Winner2850.0%$22850¢-2750¢
16Map 2 Winner2850.0%$22850¢-2750¢
17Match Winner1850.0%$21850¢-1750¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between Karmine Corp and Paper Rex in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 4 at 9:45AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Paper Rex.

This market will resolve to "Paper Rex" if Paper Rex win the match against Karmine Corp.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B"?

As of the latest update, Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,600% win probability, followed by Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 at 5,050% and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $6, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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