Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

$114.9K Vol
Jul 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Fnatic 66.5%
Karmine Corp 33.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,900% chance of winning. Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) follows in second place at 6,600%, while Map 2 Winner sits in third with 6,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $114.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) (6,900%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,900¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) (6,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) maintains a 6,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,600¢.
  • Map 2 Winner (6,000%): Sitting in third place with a 6,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Match Winner (5,950%), Map 1 Winner (5,900%), and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (5,150%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)6900.0%6900¢-6800¢
2Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)6600.0%$126600¢-6500¢
3Map 2 Winner6000.0%$9526000¢-5900¢
4Match Winner5950.0%$93.3K5950¢-5850¢
5Map 1 Winner5900.0%$31.3K5900¢-5800¢
6Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
7Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55100.0%$75100¢-5000¢
8Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Fnatic (+2.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11O/U 2.5 Games4950.0%$7904950¢-4850¢
12Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
13Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
14Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
15Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
16Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.54200.0%$2644200¢-4100¢
17Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)3550.0%$2.0K3550¢-3450¢
18Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Valorant match between Fnatic and Karmine Corp in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 22 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Karmine Corp.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Fnatic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 22, 2026

  • 07:05 AM
    RHRhodesdf
    $9.61

    Bought 31 Fnatic for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) at 0.31

  • 07:05 AM
    YEYeates
    $6.20

    Bought 20 Fnatic for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) at 0.31

  • 07:05 AM
    $1.55

    Bought 5 Fnatic for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) at 0.31

  • 07:05 AM
    TITiffanydf
    $35.00

    Bought 50 Karmine Corp for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) at 0.7

  • 06:14 AM
    ZAZagreusCS2
    $513.00

    Bought 900 Fnatic for Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega at 0.57

  • 06:11 AM
    NZnzua
    $3.05

    Bought 5.350876 Fnatic for Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega at 0.57

  • 06:10 AM
    FRFredadfgb
    $25.52

    Bought 58 Karmine Corp for Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega at 0.44

  • 06:10 AM
    DODouglasty
    $13.34

    Bought 23.4 Fnatic for Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega at 0.57

  • 06:10 AM
    FOForster
    $20.06

    Bought 35.2 Fnatic for Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega at 0.57

  • 05:26 AM
    SUsuperstorm
    $58.84

    Bought 183.875 Fnatic for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) at 0.32

  • 05:26 AM
    $2.65

    Bought 5.096152 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.52

  • 05:26 AM
    SUsuperstorm
    $90.00

    Bought 183.673468 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

F31
f3arless
Event PnL
+$48.69
Volume
$9,738.50
Positions
Fnatic
IT2
itzlebrian
Event PnL
+$5.09
Volume
$6,226.94
Positions
Karmine CorpKarmine Corp
TO3
ToeTickler98
Event PnL
+$27.08
Volume
$5,178.90
Positions
Karmine Corp
VI4
vibing123
Event PnL
+$64.40
Volume
$4,293.45
Positions
Karmine Corp
BL5
BlessedKaladin
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$3,999.97
Positions
Karmine Corp
L06
l0wkirkenuinely
Event PnL
+$11.07
Volume
$3,399.90
Positions
Karmine Corp
GR7
gregbeast
Event PnL
+$10.00
Volume
$2,500.00
Positions
Karmine Corp
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$8.61
Volume
$2,257.15
Positions
FnaticUnderUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega"?

As of the latest update, Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,900% win probability, followed by Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) at 6,600% and Map 2 Winner at 6,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $114.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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