Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega

$105 Vol
Jul 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
XLG Gaming 59.5%
Bilibili Gaming 40.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,250% chance of winning. Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 sits in third with 4,900%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $105, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (5,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,900%): Sitting in third place with a 4,900% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (4,900%), Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,850%), and Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 (4,850%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
4Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
5Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
6Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
7Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
8O/U 2.5 Games4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
9Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
10Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
11Map 3 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
12Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
13Map 2 Winner4350.0%4350¢-4250¢
14Map 1 Winner4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
15Match Winner4050.0%$1054050¢-3950¢
16Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)3350.0%3350¢-3250¢
17Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Valorant match between Bilibili Gaming and XLG Gaming in the VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 20 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against XLG Gaming.

This market will resolve to "XLG Gaming" if XLG Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 19, 2026

  • 07:18 AM
    SUsuntori
    $19.04

    Bought 48.820511 Bilibili Gaming for Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega at 0.39

  • 04:39 AM
    GGGggds630
    $20.00

    Bought 51.28205 Bilibili Gaming for Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega at 0.39

Jul 18, 2026

  • 10:45 PM
    ADadjoiningtolerance
    $3.15

    Bought 5 XLG Gaming for Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega at 0.63

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

RA1
RadioFreeZerg
Event PnL
-$1.42
Volume
$94.97
Positions
XLG Gaming
GG2
Gggds630
Event PnL
-$0.77
Volume
$51.28
Positions
Bilibili Gaming
SU3
suntori
Event PnL
+$0.73
Volume
$48.82
Positions
Bilibili Gaming
AN4
AntiVaxxer
Event PnL
-$0.08
Volume
$5.13
Positions
XLG Gaming
AD5
adjoiningtolerance
Event PnL
-$0.02
Volume
$5.00
Positions
XLG Gaming
TR6
TradingBoyy
Event PnL
+$0.02
Volume
$5.00
Positions
Bilibili Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega"?

As of the latest update, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,250% win probability, followed by Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 at 5,000% and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 4,900%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $105, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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