S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30?

$68.3K Vol
Jul 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Up 100.0%
Down 0.1%

Result Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, June 30, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, June 30, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks

EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea

ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:19 PM
    CACarrrr
    $101.08

    Sold 101.08 Up for S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30? at 1

  • 07:31 PM
    TOtonic9527
    $0.00

    Sold 136.6 Down for S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30? at 0

  • 07:31 PM
    DEdemonstrate2026
    $0.00

    Sold 10.8 Down for S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30? at 0

  • 07:31 PM
    WAwavesinthesky
    $0.00

    Bought 147.4 Down for S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30? at 0

  • 07:14 PM
    HEheadsh0t
    $0.00

    Bought 450.4 Down for S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30? at 0

  • 07:11 PM
    FLflipforchanel
    $0.00

    Bought 200 Down for S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30? at 0

  • 07:09 PM
    TOtonic9527
    $0.00

    Sold 157.69 Down for S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30? at 0

  • 07:08 PM
    DEdemonstrate2026
    $0.00

    Sold 72.31 Down for S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30? at 0

  • 07:04 PM
    DEdemonstrate2026
    $0.00

    Sold 25 Down for S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30? at 0

  • 06:42 PM
    CAcarmain
    $19.49

    Bought 19.69 Up for S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30? at 0.99

  • 06:22 PM
    RIRickMorty13
    $4.95

    Bought 5 Up for S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30? at 0.99

  • 06:12 PM
    FIfireeeeeeeee
    $10.00

    Bought 10.101 Up for S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30? at 0.99

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