
Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Shopify Rebellion is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,150% chance of winning. Outlast follows in second place at 850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $977, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Shopify Rebellion (9,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Shopify Rebellion is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Outlast (850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Outlast maintains a 850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 850¢.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shopify Rebellion | 9150.0% | — | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 2 | Outlast | 850.0% | — | 850¢ | -750¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege match between Shopify Rebellion and Outlast in the North America League Stage 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Outlast.
This market will resolve to "Outlast" if Outlast win the match against Shopify Rebellion.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage"?
As of the latest update, Shopify Rebellion leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,150% win probability, followed by Outlast at 850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $977, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
