Printr FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$85.2K Vol
Jan 1, 2028
Active
Probability Trend
$50M 42.0%
$500M 28.7%
$800M 16.9%
$100M 8.0%
$200M 7.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Printr FDV above ___ one day after launch?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, $50M is dominating the market with an overwhelming 42.5% chance of winning. $80M follows in second place at 32%, while $500M sits in third with 29%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $85.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • $50M (42.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, $50M is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 43¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $22.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • $80M (32%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, $80M maintains a 32% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 32¢.
  • $500M (29%): Sitting in third place with a 29% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward $500M, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes $200M (22.2%), $100M (14.5%), and $300M (12.4%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like $400M are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1$50M42.5%$22.7K43¢58¢
2$80M32.0%$9.0K32¢68¢
3$500M29.0%$10529¢71¢
4$200M22.1%$3.3K22¢78¢
5$100M14.5%$36.4K14¢86¢
6$300M12.4%$2.8K12¢88¢
7$400M9.4%$4.4K91¢
8$150M8.5%$4.8K92¢
9$1B0.4%$1.5K100¢
10$800M0.3%$118100¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Printr's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Only an official token launched by Printr will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.

The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Printr (https://x.com/printr) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies $1B as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 0.4% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 36% — yielding an impressive +35.7% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include $500M (EV Gap: +28.5%) and $100M (EV Gap: +25.9%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
$50M42.5%50.8%+8.3%
$80M32.0%42.5%+10.5%
$500M29.0%57.5%+28.5%
$200M22.1%40.3%+18.2%
$100M14.5%40.4%+25.9%
$300M12.4%37.2%+24.8%
$400M9.4%26.1%+16.7%
$150M8.5%19.9%+11.4%
$1BBest EV0.4%36.0%+35.7%
$800M0.3%19.3%+19.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 03:59 AM
    HIhitunfar
    $25.87

    Bought 28.428566 No for Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? at 0.91

  • 03:59 AM
    HIhitunfar
    $1.99

    Bought 28.42857 Yes for Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? at 0.07

  • 03:54 AM
    HIhitunfar
    $26.22

    Bought 28.5 No for Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? at 0.92

  • 03:54 AM
    HIhitunfar
    $1.70

    Bought 28.333332 Yes for Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? at 0.06

Jun 29, 2026

  • 02:05 PM
    WAWagmi420
    $4.40

    Sold 110 Yes for Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch? at 0.04

  • 11:39 AM
    181881aa
    $27.00

    Bought 60 Yes for Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? at 0.45

  • 11:39 AM
    MEmeow-123
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173912 Yes for Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? at 0.46

Jun 27, 2026

  • 04:33 PM
    565631065dfeds
    $1.40

    Sold 20 Yes for Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? at 0.07

  • 06:17 AM
    BEberboche
    $21.27

    Sold 23.37 No for Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? at 0.91

  • 05:02 AM
    EEeeeeeeret
    $17.19

    Sold 18.69 No for Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? at 0.92

  • 05:02 AM
    EEeeeeeeret
    $4.65

    Sold 5 No for Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? at 0.93

  • 05:02 AM
    XIXixihaha008
    $2.73

    Bought 39 Yes for Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? at 0.07

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AL1
alanhutton
Event PnL
+$1,498.88
Volume
$8,011.31
Positions
NoNoNo+4
FA2
fastchecker
Event PnL
-$711.94
Volume
$4,068.33
Positions
YesYesYes
R83
r888
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$3,697.06
Positions
Yes
DU4
dumbidiot
Event PnL
-$20.37
Volume
$2,272.53
Positions
NoNoNo
RI5
Risto
Event PnL
+$412.23
Volume
$2,215.01
Positions
NoNo
HE6
hellodi
Event PnL
-$134.33
Volume
$1,476.29
Positions
YesYesYes
H07
h00neyballzsports
Event PnL
+$29.25
Volume
$850.00
Positions
NoNoNo
ME8
merlen
Event PnL
+$159.23
Volume
$600.01
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Printr FDV above ___ one day after launch?"?

As of the latest update, $50M leads the field as the frontrunner with a 42.5% win probability, followed by $80M at 32% and $500M at 29%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $85.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags $1B as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 0.4% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 36% — an Expected Value gap of +35.7%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. $500M holds a positive EV Gap of +28.5%, and $100M shows +25.9%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

Get Started