PPI YoY - June 2026

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “PPI YoY - June 2026”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 6.3% is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,850% chance of winning. 5.9% follows in second place at 4,250%, while 6.6% sits in third with 4,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $251, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• 6.3% (4,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 6.3% is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• 5.9% (4,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 5.9% maintains a 4,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,250¢.
• 6.6% (4,000%): Sitting in third place with a 4,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 6.6%, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

• Alternative Options: This includes 6.0% (3,850%), 6.5% (3,800%), and 6.1% (3,700%).
• Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 6.4% are still attracting notable interest.

This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on July 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.

If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.