Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK - More Markets

$150.9K Vol
Jul 12, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Under 67.5%
Over 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 63% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $150.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (63%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 63¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $9.0K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score63.0%$9.0K63¢37¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Norway Eliteserien game, scheduled for July 12 at 1:15 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 63%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 60.3%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -2.7%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score63.0%60.3%-2.7%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 12, 2026

  • 07:45 AM
    GOGoalLineGhost
    $1.29

    Bought 1.96 Over for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5 at 0.66

  • 07:09 AM
    SHsharppunter
    $15.07

    Bought 20.093864 Over for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Sarpsborg 08 FF O/U 0.5 at 0.75

  • 07:00 AM
    GOGoalLineGhost
    $13.65

    Bought 15 Viking FK for Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5) at 0.91

  • 06:20 AM
    SRsreca
    $1.46

    Bought 8.58 Over for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5 at 0.17

  • 06:13 AM
    SPSportsWizard
    $5.00

    Bought 14.705881 Viking FK for Spread: Viking FK (-1.5) at 0.34

  • 06:04 AM
    $4.43

    Bought 13.436469 Viking FK for Spread: Viking FK (-1.5) at 0.33

  • 06:00 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $14.08

    Bought 32 Over for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5 at 0.44

  • 05:56 AM
    RERentMoney84629233
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702701 Under for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 1.5 at 0.37

  • 05:55 AM
    SWswisstony
    $2.92

    Bought 7.89189 Under for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 1.5 at 0.37

  • 05:54 AM
    RERentMoney84629233
    $1.00

    Bought 3.030302 Viking FK for Spread: Viking FK (-1.5) at 0.33

  • 05:54 AM
    RERentMoney84629233
    $1.12

    Bought 3.393938 Viking FK for Spread: Viking FK (-1.5) at 0.33

  • 05:54 AM
    SWswisstony
    $8.64

    Bought 27 Viking FK for Spread: Viking FK (-1.5) at 0.32

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

VE1
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$9.72
Volume
$826.18
Positions
YesOverOver+2
LA2
LaarsY
Event PnL
-$2.05
Volume
$692.28
Positions
NoOverUnder+1
LE3
LeLynxMalynx
Event PnL
-$12.98
Volume
$661.35
Positions
Sarpsborg 08 FFUnderSarpsborg 08 FF+7
SW4
swisstony
Event PnL
+$14.57
Volume
$573.17
Positions
Viking FKOverOver+10
SU5
suntori
Event PnL
+$2.33
Volume
$313.45
Positions
OverYesViking FK+2
KI6
kitopesivan
Event PnL
-$7.70
Volume
$301.76
Positions
Sarpsborg 08 FFUnderUnder
QW7
qwewqqeq
Event PnL
+$2.00
Volume
$200.00
Positions
UnderOver
TE8
technician2
Event PnL
+$3.50
Volume
$175.00
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 63% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $150.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 63%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 60.3%, a negative EV Gap of -2.7% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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