Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners

$386.7K Vol
Jul 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Seattle Mariners 59.5%
Toronto Blue Jays 40.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,300% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,000%, while O/U 7.5 sits in third with 5,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $386.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,300%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,300¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $6 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,000¢.
  • O/U 7.5 (5,050%): Sitting in third place with a 5,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 7.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes NRFI (4,700%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (4,450%), and Spread -1.5 (4,150%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57300.0%$67300¢-7200¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.56000.0%$626000¢-5900¢
3O/U 7.55050.0%$70.5K5050¢-4950¢
4NRFI4700.0%$5704700¢-4600¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 4.54450.0%$564450¢-4350¢
6Spread -1.54150.0%$9.3K4150¢-4050¢
7Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners4050.0%$306.1K4050¢-3950¢
81st 5 Innings Spread -1.53650.0%$903650¢-3550¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 5.53350.0%3350¢-3250¢
101st 5 Innings Spread -2.52650.0%$502650¢-2550¢
111st 5 Innings O/U 6.52300.0%2300¢-2200¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -1.52150.0%$902150¢-2050¢
131st 5 Innings Spread -2.51150.0%$501150¢-1050¢
14Extra Innings900.0%900¢-800¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 4 at 4:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game.

This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 4, 2026

  • 07:57 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 4 Under for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 at 0.5

  • 07:55 AM
    FIfionnoc
    $13.50

    Bought 18.493148 Toronto Blue Jays for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) at 0.73

  • 07:54 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921567 Over for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 at 0.51

  • 07:49 AM
    HUhuntermax1224
    $25.66

    Bought 50.313724 Over for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 at 0.51

  • 07:49 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 4 Under for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 at 0.5

  • 07:46 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921567 Over for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 at 0.51

  • 07:44 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 4 Under for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 at 0.5

  • 07:42 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921567 Over for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 at 0.51

  • 07:40 AM
    HUhuntermax1224
    $25.66

    Bought 50.313724 Over for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 at 0.51

  • 07:39 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 4 Under for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 at 0.5

  • 07:37 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921567 Over for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 at 0.51

  • 07:37 AM
    JAJAXY7
    $9.00

    Bought 21.951218 Seattle Mariners for Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) at 0.41

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

A01
0xA0da…9626
Event PnL
-$33.33
Volume
$6,666.00
Positions
Toronto Blue Jays
BE2
beet420
Event PnL
+$24.71
Volume
$4,942.27
Positions
Seattle Mariners
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$9.96
Volume
$1,991.58
Positions
Seattle Mariners
GE4
GefjonSports
Event PnL
-$5.86
Volume
$1,171.00
Positions
Toronto Blue Jays
XX5
XxConorxX
Event PnL
+$3.09
Volume
$634.71
Positions
Seattle Mariners
DU6
dumbguy
Event PnL
+$2.59
Volume
$517.24
Positions
Seattle Mariners
AL7
Alitoroghi
Event PnL
-$2.49
Volume
$497.14
Positions
Toronto Blue Jays
388
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$3.49
Volume
$494.59
Positions
Seattle Mariners

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,300% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 6,000% and O/U 7.5 at 5,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $386.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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