Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians

$225.5K Vol
Jul 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cleveland Guardians 69.5%
Texas Rangers 30.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $225.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $7 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 (5,000%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (5,000%), and 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$75000¢-4900¢
21st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$75000¢-4900¢
31st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$2015000¢-4900¢
41st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$2015000¢-4900¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 2.55000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 3.55000.0%$475000¢-4900¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 4.55000.0%$4135000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%$305000¢-4900¢
10Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians4850.0%$51.3K4850¢-4750¢
12O/U 7.54700.0%$174.8K4700¢-4600¢
13O/U 8.53950.0%$2.3K3950¢-3850¢
14Spread -1.53550.0%$2.5K3550¢-3450¢
15NRFI2950.0%$1.1K2950¢-2850¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 30 at 6:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game.

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:56 PM
    SIsietechips
    $2,500.00

    Bought 4716.981131 Over for Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 08:47 PM
    BFBFBB
    $120.00

    Bought 226.415093 Over for Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 08:45 PM
    ELelaeprak
    $2.80

    Bought 5 Over for Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 0.56

  • 08:38 PM
    PYpyckwyk
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 Over for Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 08:33 PM
    0X0x80228c606bD31B646d30052197bb54bFAcae44C6-1780139928559
    $3.00

    Bought 5.660376 Over for Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 08:33 PM
    DRDrVosto
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 Over for Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 08:29 PM
    SWsw8yhpx2jvix
    $10.00

    Bought 21.276594 Cleveland Guardians for Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.47

  • 08:23 PM
    OLOlma
    $4.80

    Bought 10 Under for Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 at 0.48

  • 08:20 PM
    JBJby
    $40.98

    Bought 102.45 Texas Rangers for Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) at 0.4

  • 08:19 PM
    0X0xd849b5d87c44c8553b50e1AD20b35F1d88aE206e-1780418346162
    $2.50

    Bought 5.2 Under for Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 at 0.48

  • 08:19 PM
    $114.43

    Bought 238.395832 Under for Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 at 0.48

  • 08:19 PM
    $15.79

    Bought 32.895832 Under for Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 at 0.48

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

IC1
ic4cream
Event PnL
-$120.50
Volume
$24,099.00
Positions
Over
TA2
Talvez10
Event PnL
+$70.45
Volume
$14,090.27
Positions
Over
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$29.54
Volume
$13,786.89
Positions
UnderCleveland Guardians
AN4
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$19.81
Volume
$6,808.93
Positions
UnderTexas Rangers
585
0x58b9…2983
Event PnL
+$78.52
Volume
$5,234.62
Positions
Texas RangersOver
MO6
monmaker
Event PnL
+$19.72
Volume
$3,943.77
Positions
Under
LL7
lluucckkyy
Event PnL
+$19.10
Volume
$3,819.74
Positions
Under
TR8
TraderXI
Event PnL
-$32.06
Volume
$3,548.40
Positions
UnderCleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 at 5,000% and 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $225.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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