
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals - Player Props
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,250% chance of winning. Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 0.5 follows in second place at 5,150%, while Stephen Kolek: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 sits in third with 5,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $149, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (5,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $56 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (5,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 0.5 maintains a 5,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,150¢.
- Stephen Kolek: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (5,050%): Sitting in third place with a 5,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Stephen Kolek: Strikeouts O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (5,000%), Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%), and Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5250.0% | $56 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 2 | Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5150.0% | $56 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 3 | Stephen Kolek: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 4 | Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Jonathan Aranda: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Jonathan Aranda: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Junior Caminero: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | $3 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Junior Caminero: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Lane Thomas: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Lane Thomas: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Salvador Perez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | $6 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Salvador Perez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Taylor Walls: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Taylor Walls: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Victor Mesa Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Victor Mesa Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Yandy Díaz: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | $13 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Yandy Díaz: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Ian Seymour: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Ian Seymour: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Stephen Kolek: Strikeouts O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Stephen Kolek: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Nick Loftin: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Nick Loftin: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Ian Seymour: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
Result Rules
Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 2 at 7:40 PM ET.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals - Player Props"?
As of the latest update, Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,250% win probability, followed by Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 5,150% and Stephen Kolek: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 at 5,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $149, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
