Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals - Player Props

$149 Vol
Jul 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 51.5%
Under 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,250% chance of winning. Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 0.5 follows in second place at 5,150%, while Stephen Kolek: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 sits in third with 5,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $149, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (5,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $56 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (5,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 0.5 maintains a 5,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,150¢.
  • Stephen Kolek: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (5,050%): Sitting in third place with a 5,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Stephen Kolek: Strikeouts O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (5,000%), Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%), and Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.55250.0%$565250¢-5150¢
2Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 0.55150.0%$565150¢-5050¢
3Stephen Kolek: Strikeouts O/U 2.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
4Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Jonathan Aranda: Home Runs O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Jonathan Aranda: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Junior Caminero: Home Runs O/U 0.55000.0%$35000¢-4900¢
13Junior Caminero: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Lane Thomas: Home Runs O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Lane Thomas: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Salvador Perez: Home Runs O/U 0.55000.0%$65000¢-4900¢
17Salvador Perez: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
18Taylor Walls: Home Runs O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Taylor Walls: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Victor Mesa Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Victor Mesa Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Yandy Díaz: Home Runs O/U 0.55000.0%$135000¢-4900¢
23Yandy Díaz: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Ian Seymour: Strikeouts O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Ian Seymour: Strikeouts O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Stephen Kolek: Strikeouts O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Stephen Kolek: Strikeouts O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Nick Loftin: Home Runs O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Nick Loftin: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Ian Seymour: Strikeouts O/U 4.54950.0%$104950¢-4850¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 2 at 7:40 PM ET.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,250% win probability, followed by Cedric Mullins: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 5,150% and Stephen Kolek: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 at 5,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $149, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started