Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals

$509.4K Vol
Jul 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Tampa Bay Rays 73.5%
Kansas City Royals 26.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,750% chance of winning. Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 6,450%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 sits in third with 6,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $509.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals (7,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $479.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -1.5 (6,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -1.5 maintains a 6,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,450¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (6,050%): Sitting in third place with a 6,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 9.5 (5,950%), O/U 12.5 (5,150%), and O/U 10.5 (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals7750.0%$479.1K7750¢-7650¢
2Spread -1.56450.0%$2906450¢-6350¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 4.56050.0%6050¢-5950¢
4O/U 9.55950.0%$865950¢-5850¢
5O/U 12.55150.0%$155150¢-5050¢
6O/U 10.55050.0%$25.8K5050¢-4950¢
71st 5 Innings Spread -1.55050.0%$125050¢-4950¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 5.55050.0%$465050¢-4950¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 6.55050.0%$3555050¢-4950¢
101st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$125000¢-4900¢
111st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$2355000¢-4900¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$2355000¢-4900¢
13Extra Innings4950.0%$54950¢-4850¢
14Spread -2.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
15O/U 13.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
16O/U 11.53950.0%$153950¢-3850¢
17Spread -1.51100.0%$2901100¢-1000¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 2 at 7:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 2, 2026

  • 08:47 PM
    JUJubosaurus9
    $7.21

    Bought 12.64912 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:46 PM
    JUJubosaurus9
    $20.00

    Bought 37.037036 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 at 0.54

  • 08:33 PM
    0X0x87A80EB7A2eE12E4bAcDE856B54449BD23cceb35-1779233611656
    $6.63

    Bought 12.28 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 at 0.54

  • 08:31 PM
    0X0xC92420B378D40882147d483a0bF23E4D1EEa35D3-1765935868976
    $247.00

    Bought 433.333332 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:27 PM
    JCJc1001
    $1.08

    Sold 2.03 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.53

  • 08:26 PM
    JCJc1001
    $1.10

    Bought 2.037036 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.54

  • 08:21 PM
    TITier0
    $3.10

    Bought 5.740739 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.54

  • 08:20 PM
    ELelementz2
    $599.94

    Bought 1111 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.54

  • 08:20 PM
    FIfionnoc
    $4.52

    Bought 6.369862 Tampa Bay Rays for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) at 0.71

  • 08:18 PM
    NONottot
    $22.20

    Bought 60 Tampa Bay Rays for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.37

  • 08:17 PM
    NONottot
    $16.20

    Bought 60 Tampa Bay Rays for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) at 0.27

  • 08:17 PM
    NONottot
    $22.20

    Bought 60 Tampa Bay Rays for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.37

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
NiFengFanPan
Event PnL
-$82.72
Volume
$16,546.81
Positions
Kansas City Royals
MO2
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$4.36
Volume
$16,055.46
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
WA3
Wannac
Event PnL
+$94.48
Volume
$15,339.50
Positions
Kansas City Royals
LL4
lluucckkyy
Event PnL
+$75.00
Volume
$14,999.95
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
WR5
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$73.14
Volume
$14,628.59
Positions
Kansas City Royals
0X6
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
-$51.21
Volume
$10,642.55
Positions
Kansas City Royals
YU7
yupiiiiiiiii
Event PnL
+$25.41
Volume
$5,434.90
Positions
Kansas City Royals
TC8
TCA
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals"?

As of the latest update, Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,750% win probability, followed by Spread -1.5 at 6,450% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 6,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $509.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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