Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals

$109.1K Vol
Jul 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Tampa Bay Rays 52.3%
Kansas City Royals 47.8%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,200% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 7,000%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 sits in third with 5,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $109.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (8,200%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,200¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (7,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 7,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,000¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,850%): Sitting in third place with a 5,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes NRFI (5,300%), O/U 9.5 (5,250%), and Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals (5,225%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.58200.0%8200¢-8100¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.57000.0%7000¢-6900¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 4.55850.0%$115850¢-5750¢
4NRFI5300.0%$735300¢-5200¢
5O/U 9.55250.0%$655250¢-5150¢
6Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals5225.0%$63.7K5225¢-5125¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 5.54650.0%$24650¢-4550¢
8O/U 10.54350.0%$29.5K4350¢-4250¢
9Spread -1.54050.0%$15.6K4050¢-3950¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 6.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
111st 5 Innings Spread -1.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -1.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
13Extra Innings3050.0%3050¢-2950¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -2.52400.0%$102400¢-2300¢
151st 5 Innings Spread -2.51850.0%$101850¢-1750¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for June 30 at 7:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:22 AM
    HAhachine
    $5.81

    Bought 10.962263 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 at 0.53

  • 08:14 AM
    WIWispzqherQx6
    $4.01

    Bought 6.8 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.59

  • 08:14 AM
    0X0xb059d71C2BF4c8a3B2E92C73DbCF87D29D3ff1b6-1770141738129
    $3.72

    Bought 6.3 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.59

  • 08:13 AM
    ZEzephyrousq7w3e
    $3.78

    Bought 9 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.42

  • 08:13 AM
    ERerniewuck
    $2.48

    Bought 5.9 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.42

  • 08:13 AM
    AXAxiomdq
    $1.05

    Bought 2.5 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.42

  • 08:13 AM
    LILightaperture
    $2.18

    Bought 5.2 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.42

  • 08:13 AM
    KEkellyscho
    $3.25

    Bought 5.6 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.58

  • 08:13 AM
    GLGlacialgrotto
    $4.35

    Bought 7.5 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.58

  • 08:13 AM
    ICIcepelletdown
    $4.76

    Bought 8.2 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.58

  • 08:13 AM
    TITiarabalance
    $0.81

    Bought 1.4 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.58

  • 08:08 AM
    0X0x6503dCf7c5B238050CC38C19E2b1EA07D336fBc5-1775613920686
    $3.07

    Bought 7.3 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.42

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

EB1
EbHaalnd
Event PnL
+$151.17
Volume
$22,556.66
Positions
Under
OD2
Odzfx
Event PnL
+$212.69
Volume
$11,420.00
Positions
Kansas City Royals
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
-$24.62
Volume
$5,075.63
Positions
Over
MO4
monmaker
Event PnL
-$23.80
Volume
$4,759.50
Positions
Over
TR5
TraderXI
Event PnL
-$132.85
Volume
$4,557.31
Positions
OverTampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays
SE6
sentrio
Event PnL
-$20.27
Volume
$4,054.32
Positions
Over
HO7
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$92.05
Volume
$3,813.43
Positions
Tampa Bay RaysOver
588
0x58b9…2983
Event PnL
+$16.73
Volume
$3,095.82
Positions
Kansas City RoyalsUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,200% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 7,000% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 5,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $109.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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