Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros

$410.7K Vol
Jul 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Houston Astros 83.4%
Tampa Bay Rays 16.7%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spread -1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,150% chance of winning. O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while Spread -2.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $410.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spread -1.5 (6,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spread -1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 3.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 3.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Spread -2.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Extra Innings (4,950%), O/U 7.5 (4,950%), and O/U 4.5 (4,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 5.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spread -1.56150.0%$2.8K6150¢-6050¢
2O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Extra Innings4950.0%$104950¢-4850¢
5O/U 7.54950.0%$2.9K4950¢-4850¢
6O/U 4.54900.0%$2.3K4900¢-4800¢
7O/U 5.53200.0%$6.2K3200¢-3100¢
8O/U 6.53100.0%$673100¢-3000¢
9Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros1635.0%$314.6K1635¢-1535¢
10O/U 8.51100.0%$77.5K1100¢-1000¢
11Spread -1.5850.0%$2.8K850¢-750¢
12O/U 9.5700.0%$245700¢-600¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Houston Astros, scheduled for July 5 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 5, 2026

  • 08:27 PM
    CACavaSoTasty
    $183.23

    Bought 251 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.73

  • 08:24 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $2.38

    Bought 7 Over for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.34

  • 08:24 PM
    0X0xFEC7d84Ef85De84Fb8495032A85Ab398F56fb4B2-1767556123816
    $50.05

    Bought 67.635134 Houston Astros for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.74

  • 08:23 PM
    CACavaSoTasty
    $3.30

    Bought 5 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.66

  • 08:22 PM
    SWswisstony
    $4.32

    Bought 16 Over for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.27

  • 08:20 PM
    PRpredictability
    $4.68

    Bought 9 Houston Astros for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros at 0.52

  • 08:20 PM
    RNRN1
    $89.30

    Bought 190 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros at 0.47

  • 08:20 PM
    0X0x4f2
    $2.97

    Sold 5.5 Houston Astros for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros at 0.54

  • 08:20 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 4.175364 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros at 0.48

  • 08:20 PM
    0X0x2D721Ce1F84B8096b8a2d43a84DdDa92Cc575E20-1781644219575
    $16.20

    Bought 30 Houston Astros for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros at 0.54

  • 08:20 PM
    BIBillBenter2026
    $4.60

    Bought 10 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros at 0.46

  • 08:20 PM
    SPsporteo
    $1.00

    Bought 2.178648 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

OD1
Odzfx
Event PnL
+$631.07
Volume
$33,700.00
Positions
Houston Astros
NI2
NiFengFanPan
Event PnL
-$7.28
Volume
$16,036.54
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
WA3
wapol
Event PnL
-$264.23
Volume
$9,821.77
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
4F4
0x4f2
Event PnL
-$179.09
Volume
$7,511.57
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
385
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$106.73
Volume
$3,150.25
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
SP6
sportmaster777
Event PnL
+$135.77
Volume
$2,402.96
Positions
Houston Astros
B87
0xb8C8…9992
Event PnL
-$135.76
Volume
$2,402.96
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
RI8
riverskew
Event PnL
-$28.19
Volume
$2,239.65
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros"?

As of the latest update, Spread -1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,150% win probability, followed by O/U 3.5 at 5,000% and Spread -2.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $410.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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