Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros

$1.3M Vol
Jul 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Houston Astros 58.5%
Tampa Bay Rays 41.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 13.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 14.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 15.5 sits in third with 7,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.3M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 13.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 13.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $4.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 14.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 14.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 15.5 (7,650%): Sitting in third place with a 7,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 15.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros (6,750%), O/U 16.5 (6,750%), and Spread -3.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Extra Innings are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 13.59995.0%$4.6K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 14.59995.0%$2409995¢-9895¢
3O/U 15.57650.0%$7277650¢-7550¢
4Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros6750.0%$1.2M6750¢-6650¢
5O/U 16.56750.0%$1356750¢-6650¢
6Spread -3.55000.0%$4885000¢-4900¢
7Extra Innings4950.0%$54950¢-4850¢
8O/U 17.54150.0%$954150¢-4050¢
9Spread -1.53150.0%$203150¢-3050¢
10Spread -2.51650.0%$2.5K1650¢-1550¢
11Spread -4.51650.0%$551650¢-1550¢
12Spread -1.51095.0%$201095¢-995¢
13Spread -5.5105.0%$74105¢-5¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Houston Astros, scheduled for July 4 at 7:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 4, 2026

  • 08:17 PM
    EMEmersonjqy
    $5.60

    Bought 10.181817 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 at 0.55

  • 08:14 PM
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607842 Houston Astros for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros at 0.51

  • 08:10 PM
    DEDeji26
    $14.89

    Bought 27.072726 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 at 0.55

  • 08:10 PM
    0X0x31b9c0Af7d2BD77b964dc8f5d8c6D492F1d5EF61-1756355564561
    $1.00

    Bought 1.960783 Houston Astros for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros at 0.51

  • 08:09 PM
    VKVkey5
    $2.29

    Bought 4.163635 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 at 0.55

  • 08:09 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $602.66

    Bought 1116.03 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

  • 08:09 PM
    $2.16

    Bought 4 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

  • 08:01 PM
    GOGOKHAN1
    $4.91

    Bought 5.01 No for Will the game go to extra innings?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros at 0.98

  • 08:01 PM
    -T-TrustMeBro-
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros at 0.5

  • 07:58 PM
    0X0x809394D49526f7CA13522A72C1Cb3c3980AB7673-1774068564093
    $10.00

    Bought 20 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros at 0.5

  • 07:52 PM
    HAhachine
    $5.00

    Bought 10.638296 Over for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 at 0.47

  • 07:52 PM
    AAaaronkozinets
    $102.60

    Bought 190 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$1,126.60
Volume
$85,058.17
Positions
Houston Astros
SO2
solar5
Event PnL
-$2,362.46
Volume
$80,701.66
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
LL3
lluucckkyy
Event PnL
-$500.00
Volume
$19,999.93
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$493.39
Volume
$17,831.80
Positions
Houston Astros
NI5
NiFengFanPan
Event PnL
+$396.80
Volume
$15,871.43
Positions
Houston Astros
4F6
0x4f2
Event PnL
-$187.50
Volume
$12,244.90
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$79.98
Volume
$7,996.50
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
MO8
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$107.62
Volume
$7,544.52
Positions
Houston Astros

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros"?

As of the latest update, O/U 13.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 14.5 at 9,995% and O/U 15.5 at 7,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.3M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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