Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

$604.3K Vol
Jul 25, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Boston Red Sox 95.5%
Tampa Bay Rays 4.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spread -1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,100% chance of winning. Extra Innings follows in second place at 5,000%, while O/U 8.5 sits in third with 3,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $604.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spread -1.5 (8,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spread -1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Extra Innings (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Extra Innings maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • O/U 8.5 (3,050%): Sitting in third place with a 3,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 9.5 (1,250%), Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox (450%), and Spread -1.5 (400%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spread -1.58100.0%$1.4K8100¢-8000¢
2Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3O/U 8.53050.0%$138.9K3050¢-2950¢
4O/U 9.51250.0%$34.3K1250¢-1150¢
5Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox450.0%$347.9K450¢-350¢
6Spread -1.5400.0%$1.4K400¢-300¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for July 17 at 7:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 17, 2026

  • 08:26 PM
    BEBEldghik
    $494.07

    Bought 898.309088 Over for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 at 0.55

  • 08:22 PM
    BEBEldghik
    $116.01

    Bought 263.659089 Over for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 at 0.44

  • 08:19 PM
    VKVkey5
    $1.30

    Bought 2.2807 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 at 0.57

  • 08:18 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $4.50

    Bought 10 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 at 0.45

  • 08:18 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $270.05

    Bought 482.24 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 at 0.56

  • 08:18 PM
    ACacoellarv
    $44.22

    Bought 86.705881 Boston Red Sox for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.51

  • 08:16 PM
    0X0x8605679A98a2C0730ff4f8aFc282a351601A18a1-1770361502280
    $1.00

    Bought 1.960783 Boston Red Sox for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.51

  • 08:11 PM
    $426.86

    Sold 776.1 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 at 0.55

  • 08:10 PM
    BEBEldghik
    $556.33

    Bought 1069.866922 Boston Red Sox for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.52

  • 08:10 PM
    BEBEldghik
    $776.53

    Bought 1725.622221 Over for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 at 0.45

  • 08:09 PM
    OROrbit2126
    $150.00

    Bought 300 Tampa Bay Rays for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox at 0.5

  • 08:08 PM
    SDSDTrading
    $45.08

    Bought 83.48 Under for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$659.44
Volume
$101,823.27
Positions
OverYesOver+5
SA2
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
-$2,024.38
Volume
$101,219.18
Positions
Under
PL3
pleaseplease123
Event PnL
+$1,153.67
Volume
$64,300.17
Positions
Boston Red Sox
3D4
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
-$170.31
Volume
$45,414.41
Positions
Boston Red SoxUnder
4F5
0x4f2
Event PnL
+$88.78
Volume
$24,852.12
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
TH6
THEdirkdiggler
Event PnL
+$400.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Over
ME7
Meiqianqionga
Event PnL
+$1.57
Volume
$16,728.36
Positions
Boston Red Sox
HO8
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$140.89
Volume
$15,391.95
Positions
OverTampa Bay RaysUnder+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox"?

As of the latest update, Spread -1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,100% win probability, followed by Extra Innings at 5,000% and O/U 8.5 at 3,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $604.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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