St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs - Player Props

$163 Vol
Jul 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 89.5%
Over 10.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,100% chance of winning. Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 5,050%, while Javier Assad: Strikeouts O/U 1.5 sits in third with 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $163, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 1.5 (5,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
  • Javier Assad: Strikeouts O/U 1.5 (4,950%): Sitting in third place with a 4,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Javier Assad: Strikeouts O/U 1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Alec Burleson: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,900%), Alex Bregman: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,900%), and Carson Kelly: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like JJ Wetherholt: Home Runs O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 1.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
2Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 2.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
3Javier Assad: Strikeouts O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
4Alec Burleson: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
5Alex Bregman: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
6Carson Kelly: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
7JJ Wetherholt: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
8Jordan Walker: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
9Pete Crow-Armstrong: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
10Seiya Suzuki: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
11Ian Happ: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
12Masyn Winn: Home Runs O/U 0.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
13Masyn Winn: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
14Iván Herrera: Home Runs O/U 1.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
15Lars Nootbaar: Home Runs O/U 1.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
16Nico Hoerner: Home Runs O/U 1.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
17Michael Busch: Home Runs O/U 1.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
18Javier Assad: Strikeouts O/U 2.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
19Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 3.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
20Javier Assad: Strikeouts O/U 3.52700.0%2700¢-2600¢
21Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 4.52450.0%2450¢-2350¢
22Jordan Walker: Home Runs O/U 0.51000.0%$1631000¢-900¢
23Seiya Suzuki: Home Runs O/U 0.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
24Alec Burleson: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
25Ian Happ: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
26Pete Crow-Armstrong: Home Runs O/U 0.5900.0%900¢-800¢
27Michael Busch: Home Runs O/U 0.5850.0%850¢-750¢
28Carson Kelly: Home Runs O/U 0.5800.0%800¢-700¢
29Lars Nootbaar: Home Runs O/U 0.5800.0%800¢-700¢
30Iván Herrera: Home Runs O/U 0.5750.0%750¢-650¢
31JJ Wetherholt: Home Runs O/U 0.5750.0%750¢-650¢
32Nico Hoerner: Home Runs O/U 0.5750.0%750¢-650¢
33Alex Bregman: Home Runs O/U 0.5650.0%650¢-550¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for July 5 at 2:30 PM ET.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,100% win probability, followed by Matthew Liberatore: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 at 5,050% and Javier Assad: Strikeouts O/U 1.5 at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $163, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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