
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - Player Props
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,250% chance of winning. Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,900%, while Freddy Fermin: Home Runs O/U 1.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $57, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (7,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (6,900%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,900% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,900¢.
- Freddy Fermin: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Freddy Fermin: Home Runs O/U 1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Teoscar Hernández: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%), Andy Pages: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,950%), and Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,950%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Gavin Sheets: Home Runs O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 2 | Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 6900.0% | $19 | 6900¢ | -6800¢ |
| 3 | Freddy Fermin: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Teoscar Hernández: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Andy Pages: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 6 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 7 | Gavin Sheets: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 8 | Jackson Merrill: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 9 | Kyle Tucker: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 10 | Manny Machado: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 11 | Max Muncy: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 12 | Mookie Betts: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 13 | Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 14 | Tommy Edman: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 15 | Ty France: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 16 | Xander Bogaerts: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 17 | Randy Vásquez: Strikeouts O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 18 | Jake Cronenworth: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 19 | Randy Vásquez: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 20 | Randy Vásquez: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 21 | Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 3250.0% | $19 | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 22 | Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 3100.0% | $18 | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 23 | Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 24 | Freddie Freeman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 2050.0% | $20 | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 25 | Freddie Freeman: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 26 | Andy Pages: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1800.0% | — | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 27 | Manny Machado: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1700.0% | — | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 28 | Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 29 | Gavin Sheets: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 30 | Teoscar Hernández: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 31 | Mookie Betts: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1500.0% | — | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 32 | Kyle Tucker: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1450.0% | — | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 33 | Max Muncy: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1450.0% | — | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 34 | Jackson Merrill: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1350.0% | — | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 35 | Tommy Edman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 36 | Ty France: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 37 | Xander Bogaerts: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1050.0% | — | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 38 | Jake Cronenworth: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 39 | Freddy Fermin: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 850.0% | — | 850¢ | -750¢ |
Result Rules
Player prop markets for the MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for July 2 at 10:10 PM ET.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - Player Props"?
As of the latest update, Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,250% win probability, followed by Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 at 6,900% and Freddy Fermin: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $57, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
