San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - Player Props

$57 Vol
Jul 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 50.5%
Over 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,250% chance of winning. Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,900%, while Freddy Fermin: Home Runs O/U 1.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $57, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (7,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (6,900%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,900% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,900¢.
  • Freddy Fermin: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Freddy Fermin: Home Runs O/U 1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Teoscar Hernández: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%), Andy Pages: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,950%), and Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Gavin Sheets: Home Runs O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 2.57250.0%7250¢-7150¢
2Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 3.56900.0%$196900¢-6800¢
3Freddy Fermin: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Teoscar Hernández: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Andy Pages: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
6Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
7Gavin Sheets: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
8Jackson Merrill: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9Kyle Tucker: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10Manny Machado: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11Max Muncy: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Mookie Betts: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14Tommy Edman: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
15Ty France: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
16Xander Bogaerts: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
17Randy Vásquez: Strikeouts O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
18Jake Cronenworth: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
19Randy Vásquez: Strikeouts O/U 3.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
20Randy Vásquez: Strikeouts O/U 2.53400.0%3400¢-3300¢
21Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 4.53250.0%$193250¢-3150¢
22Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 0.53100.0%$183100¢-3000¢
23Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 5.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
24Freddie Freeman: Home Runs O/U 0.52050.0%$202050¢-1950¢
25Freddie Freeman: Home Runs O/U 1.52050.0%2050¢-1950¢
26Andy Pages: Home Runs O/U 0.51800.0%1800¢-1700¢
27Manny Machado: Home Runs O/U 0.51700.0%1700¢-1600¢
28Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.51650.0%1650¢-1550¢
29Gavin Sheets: Home Runs O/U 0.51650.0%1650¢-1550¢
30Teoscar Hernández: Home Runs O/U 0.51550.0%1550¢-1450¢
31Mookie Betts: Home Runs O/U 0.51500.0%1500¢-1400¢
32Kyle Tucker: Home Runs O/U 0.51450.0%1450¢-1350¢
33Max Muncy: Home Runs O/U 0.51450.0%1450¢-1350¢
34Jackson Merrill: Home Runs O/U 0.51350.0%1350¢-1250¢
35Tommy Edman: Home Runs O/U 0.51250.0%1250¢-1150¢
36Ty France: Home Runs O/U 0.51250.0%1250¢-1150¢
37Xander Bogaerts: Home Runs O/U 0.51050.0%1050¢-950¢
38Jake Cronenworth: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
39Freddy Fermin: Home Runs O/U 0.5850.0%850¢-750¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for July 2 at 10:10 PM ET.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,250% win probability, followed by Roki Sasaki: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 at 6,900% and Freddy Fermin: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $57, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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