Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals - Player Props

$275 Vol
Jul 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 53.0%
Over 47.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Endy Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,150% chance of winning. Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 1.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 1.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $275, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Endy Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (5,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Endy Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 1.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Daylen Lile: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%), Dylan Crews: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%), and Konnor Griffin: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Luis García Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Endy Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 0.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
2Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Daylen Lile: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Dylan Crews: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Konnor Griffin: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Luis García Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Ryan O'Hearn: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Curtis Mead: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10Bubba Chandler: Strikeouts O/U 2.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11Esmerlyn Valdez: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Endy Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
13Keibert Ruiz: Home Runs O/U 1.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
14Bubba Chandler: Strikeouts O/U 4.54700.0%$2754700¢-4600¢
15Cade Cavalli: Strikeouts O/U 4.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
16Bubba Chandler: Strikeouts O/U 3.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
17Cade Cavalli: Strikeouts O/U 5.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
18Cade Cavalli: Strikeouts O/U 6.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢
19Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 0.52000.0%2000¢-1900¢
20Esmerlyn Valdez: Home Runs O/U 0.51550.0%1550¢-1450¢
21James Wood: Home Runs O/U 0.51400.0%1400¢-1300¢
22Ryan O'Hearn: Home Runs O/U 0.51300.0%1300¢-1200¢
23Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 0.51150.0%1150¢-1050¢
24CJ Abrams: Home Runs O/U 0.51100.0%1100¢-1000¢
25Dylan Crews: Home Runs O/U 0.51100.0%1100¢-1000¢
26Luis García Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.51100.0%1100¢-1000¢
27Curtis Mead: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
28Konnor Griffin: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
29Keibert Ruiz: Home Runs O/U 0.5900.0%900¢-800¢
30Daylen Lile: Home Runs O/U 0.5850.0%850¢-750¢
31James Wood: Home Runs O/U 1.5550.0%550¢-450¢
32CJ Abrams: Home Runs O/U 1.5350.0%350¢-250¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 5 at 1:00 PM ET.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Endy Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,150% win probability, followed by Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 5,000% and Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $275, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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