Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies

$160.9K Vol
Jul 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Philadelphia Phillies 67.5%
Pittsburgh Pirates 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,450% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,100%, while O/U 8.5 sits in third with 5,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $160.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,100¢.
  • O/U 8.5 (5,050%): Sitting in third place with a 5,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -1.5 (4,950%), NRFI (4,850%), and 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (4,750%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57450.0%7450¢-7350¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.56100.0%6100¢-6000¢
3O/U 8.55050.0%$28.1K5050¢-4950¢
4Spread -1.54950.0%$10.9K4950¢-4850¢
5NRFI4850.0%$2524850¢-4750¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 4.54750.0%$554750¢-4650¢
71st 5 Innings Spread -1.54650.0%$1524650¢-4550¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 5.53600.0%3600¢-3500¢
91st 5 Innings Spread -2.53350.0%$2083350¢-3250¢
10Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies3250.0%$121.3K3250¢-3150¢
111st 5 Innings O/U 6.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -1.51700.0%$1521700¢-1600¢
13Extra Innings1000.0%1000¢-900¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -2.5950.0%$208950¢-850¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 30 at 6:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 07:39 AM
    KEkeith80
    $52.00

    Bought 100 Under for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 at 0.52

  • 07:38 AM
    KEkeith80
    $67.99

    Bought 99.99 Philadelphia Phillies for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.68

  • 07:29 AM
    BOBOOST250
    $7.00

    Bought 13.725489 Pittsburgh Pirates for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.51

  • 07:23 AM
    LILieAndSmile
    $15.00

    Bought 28.846152 Under for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 at 0.52

  • 07:22 AM
    ASasukita
    $6.10

    Bought 9.24 Pittsburgh Pirates for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) at 0.66

  • 07:22 AM
    KIkirikiku
    $4.98

    Bought 7.55 Pittsburgh Pirates for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) at 0.66

  • 07:22 AM
    ABabelardofelipe
    $5.86

    Bought 8.88 Pittsburgh Pirates for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) at 0.66

  • 07:08 AM
    MImilliema
    $4.40

    Bought 8.8 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.5

  • 07:08 AM
    SOSoulwedge
    $4.20

    Bought 8.4 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.5

  • 07:08 AM
    BRBrightage
    $4.50

    Bought 9 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.5

  • 07:07 AM
    MIMistcore
    $3.37

    Bought 6.6 Pittsburgh Pirates for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.51

  • 07:07 AM
    CACarinak6
    $3.06

    Bought 6 Pittsburgh Pirates for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PH1
phonesculptor
Event PnL
+$350.40
Volume
$21,281.83
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
WR2
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$113.80
Volume
$15,811.13
Positions
OverPhiladelphia Phillies
PU3
purplegatto
Event PnL
-$11.83
Volume
$15,080.47
Positions
UnderPhiladelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies+1
584
0x58b9…2983
Event PnL
-$222.94
Volume
$12,720.00
Positions
Pittsburgh Pirates
MO5
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$31.00
Volume
$7,350.95
Positions
OverPhiladelphia Phillies
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$43.65
Volume
$4,660.84
Positions
Pittsburgh PiratesPhiladelphia Phillies
CU7
cumulus33
Event PnL
-$63.25
Volume
$4,512.40
Positions
Pittsburgh PiratesOver
RN8
RN1
Event PnL
+$253.20
Volume
$2,982.34
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,450% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 6,100% and O/U 8.5 at 5,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $160.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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