Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians - Player Props

$3 Vol
Jul 19, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 54.5%
Under 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,700% chance of winning. Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,350%, while Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 sits in third with 6,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $3, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (6,700%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,700¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (6,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,350¢.
  • Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (6,350%): Sitting in third place with a 6,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (5,900%), Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (4,750%), and Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,715%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Esmerlyn Valdez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 2.56700.0%6700¢-6600¢
2Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 3.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
3Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 4.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
4Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 5.55900.0%5900¢-5800¢
5Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 4.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
6Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 1.54715.0%4715¢-4615¢
7Esmerlyn Valdez: Home Runs O/U 1.54715.0%4715¢-4615¢
8Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 5.53950.0%$33950¢-3850¢
9Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 6.53750.0%3750¢-3650¢
10Ryan O'Hearn: Home Runs O/U 0.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
11Henry Davis: Home Runs O/U 0.53400.0%3400¢-3300¢
12Kahlil Watson: Home Runs O/U 0.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢
13Nick Gonzales: Home Runs O/U 0.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
14Jared Triolo: Home Runs O/U 0.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
15Steven Kwan: Home Runs O/U 0.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
16Jake Mangum: Home Runs O/U 0.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
17Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 1.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
18Kyle Manzardo: Home Runs O/U 1.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
19Chase DeLauter: Home Runs O/U 1.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
20Marcell Ozuna: Home Runs O/U 1.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
21Nick Gonzales: Home Runs O/U 1.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
22Rhys Hoskins: Home Runs O/U 1.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
23Ryan O'Hearn: Home Runs O/U 1.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
24Gabriel Arias: Home Runs O/U 1.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
25Henry Davis: Home Runs O/U 1.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
26Kahlil Watson: Home Runs O/U 1.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
27Jake Mangum: Home Runs O/U 1.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
28Brayan Rocchio: Home Runs O/U 1.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
29Steven Kwan: Home Runs O/U 1.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
30Jared Triolo: Home Runs O/U 1.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
31Kyle Manzardo: Home Runs O/U 0.51250.0%1250¢-1150¢
32Chase DeLauter: Home Runs O/U 0.51050.0%1050¢-950¢
33Esmerlyn Valdez: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
34Rhys Hoskins: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
35Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 0.5900.0%900¢-800¢
36Marcell Ozuna: Home Runs O/U 0.5900.0%900¢-800¢
37Gabriel Arias: Home Runs O/U 0.5900.0%900¢-800¢
38Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 0.5850.0%850¢-750¢
39Brayan Rocchio: Home Runs O/U 0.5650.0%650¢-550¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 19 at 1:40 PM ET.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,700% win probability, followed by Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 at 6,350% and Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 6,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $3, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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