
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians - Player Props
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,700% chance of winning. Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,350%, while Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 sits in third with 6,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $3, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (6,700%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,700¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (6,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,350¢.
- Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (6,350%): Sitting in third place with a 6,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (5,900%), Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (4,750%), and Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,715%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Esmerlyn Valdez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 | 6700.0% | — | 6700¢ | -6600¢ |
| 2 | Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 6350.0% | — | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 3 | Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 6350.0% | — | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 4 | Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | 5900.0% | — | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 5 | Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 6 | Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4715.0% | — | 4715¢ | -4615¢ |
| 7 | Esmerlyn Valdez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4715.0% | — | 4715¢ | -4615¢ |
| 8 | Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | 3950.0% | $3 | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 9 | Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 10 | Ryan O'Hearn: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 11 | Henry Davis: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 12 | Kahlil Watson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 3300.0% | — | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 13 | Nick Gonzales: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 14 | Jared Triolo: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 15 | Steven Kwan: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 16 | Jake Mangum: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 17 | Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 18 | Kyle Manzardo: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 19 | Chase DeLauter: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 20 | Marcell Ozuna: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 21 | Nick Gonzales: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 22 | Rhys Hoskins: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 23 | Ryan O'Hearn: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 24 | Gabriel Arias: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 25 | Henry Davis: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 26 | Kahlil Watson: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 27 | Jake Mangum: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 28 | Brayan Rocchio: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 29 | Steven Kwan: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 30 | Jared Triolo: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 31 | Kyle Manzardo: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 32 | Chase DeLauter: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1050.0% | — | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 33 | Esmerlyn Valdez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 34 | Rhys Hoskins: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 35 | Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 36 | Marcell Ozuna: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 37 | Gabriel Arias: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 38 | Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 850.0% | — | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 39 | Brayan Rocchio: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 650.0% | — | 650¢ | -550¢ |
Result Rules
Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 19 at 1:40 PM ET.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians - Player Props"?
As of the latest update, Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,700% win probability, followed by Joey Cantillo: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 at 6,350% and Paul Skenes: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 6,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $3, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
