Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals - Player Props

$5 Vol
Jul 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 50.0%
Under 50.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,000% chance of winning. Alec Bohm: Home Runs O/U 1.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while Brandon Marsh: Home Runs O/U 1.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $5, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (6,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Alec Bohm: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Alec Bohm: Home Runs O/U 1.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Brandon Marsh: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Brandon Marsh: Home Runs O/U 1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Bryson Stott: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%), Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%), and Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Salvador Perez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 3.56000.0%6000¢-5900¢
2Alec Bohm: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Brandon Marsh: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Bryson Stott: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Salvador Perez: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9Aaron Nola: Strikeouts O/U 2.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10J.T. Realmuto: Home Runs O/U 1.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
11Justin Crawford: Home Runs O/U 1.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
12Michael Massey: Home Runs O/U 1.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
13Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 2.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
14Bryce Harper: Home Runs O/U 1.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
15Trea Turner: Home Runs O/U 1.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
16Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
17Aaron Nola: Strikeouts O/U 3.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
18Aaron Nola: Strikeouts O/U 4.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
19Aaron Nola: Strikeouts O/U 5.52450.0%2450¢-2350¢
20Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 4.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢
21Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 0.51900.0%1900¢-1800¢
22Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.51750.0%1750¢-1650¢
23Salvador Perez: Home Runs O/U 0.51650.0%1650¢-1550¢
24Kyle Schwarber: Home Runs O/U 0.51600.0%1600¢-1500¢
25Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.51500.0%1500¢-1400¢
26Michael Massey: Home Runs O/U 0.51400.0%1400¢-1300¢
27Bryce Harper: Home Runs O/U 0.51050.0%1050¢-950¢
28Brandon Marsh: Home Runs O/U 0.5850.0%850¢-750¢
29Alec Bohm: Home Runs O/U 0.5750.0%750¢-650¢
30Bryson Stott: Home Runs O/U 0.5750.0%750¢-650¢
31Trea Turner: Home Runs O/U 0.5750.0%750¢-650¢
32J.T. Realmuto: Home Runs O/U 0.5750.0%750¢-650¢
33Justin Crawford: Home Runs O/U 0.5750.0%750¢-650¢
34Kyle Schwarber: Home Runs O/U 1.5450.0%450¢-350¢
35Nick Loftin: Home Runs O/U 0.5150.0%150¢-50¢
36Nick Loftin: Home Runs O/U 1.555.0%$555¢45¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 5 at 3:00 PM ET.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,000% win probability, followed by Alec Bohm: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 5,000% and Brandon Marsh: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $5, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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