
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals - Player Props
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,000% chance of winning. Alec Bohm: Home Runs O/U 1.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while Brandon Marsh: Home Runs O/U 1.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $5, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (6,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Alec Bohm: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Alec Bohm: Home Runs O/U 1.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
- Brandon Marsh: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Brandon Marsh: Home Runs O/U 1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Bryson Stott: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%), Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%), and Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Salvador Perez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 6000.0% | — | 6000¢ | -5900¢ |
| 2 | Alec Bohm: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Brandon Marsh: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Bryson Stott: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Salvador Perez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 9 | Aaron Nola: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 10 | J.T. Realmuto: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 11 | Justin Crawford: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 12 | Michael Massey: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 13 | Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 14 | Bryce Harper: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 15 | Trea Turner: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 16 | Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 17 | Aaron Nola: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 18 | Aaron Nola: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 19 | Aaron Nola: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | 2450.0% | — | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 20 | Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 21 | Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1900.0% | — | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 22 | Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 23 | Salvador Perez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 24 | Kyle Schwarber: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1600.0% | — | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 25 | Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1500.0% | — | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 26 | Michael Massey: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1400.0% | — | 1400¢ | -1300¢ |
| 27 | Bryce Harper: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 1050.0% | — | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 28 | Brandon Marsh: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 850.0% | — | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 29 | Alec Bohm: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 30 | Bryson Stott: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 31 | Trea Turner: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 32 | J.T. Realmuto: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 33 | Justin Crawford: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 34 | Kyle Schwarber: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 450.0% | — | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 35 | Nick Loftin: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 36 | Nick Loftin: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 55.0% | $5 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
Result Rules
Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 5 at 3:00 PM ET.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals - Player Props"?
As of the latest update, Luinder Avila: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,000% win probability, followed by Alec Bohm: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 5,000% and Brandon Marsh: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $5, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
