Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals

$337.7K Vol
Jul 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Kansas City Royals 100.0%
Philadelphia Phillies 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 6.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. O/U 5.5 follows in second place at 9,950%, while Spread -1.5 sits in third with 8,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $337.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 6.5 (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 6.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $116 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 5.5 (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 5.5 maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Spread -1.5 (8,500%): Sitting in third place with a 8,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 7.5 (2,550%), O/U 8.5 (1,250%), and O/U 9.5 (750%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 10.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 6.59950.0%$1169950¢-9850¢
2O/U 5.59950.0%$109950¢-9850¢
3Spread -1.58500.0%$9.6K8500¢-8400¢
4O/U 7.52550.0%$2692550¢-2450¢
5O/U 8.51250.0%$4.5K1250¢-1150¢
6O/U 9.5750.0%$131.1K750¢-650¢
7O/U 10.5550.0%$33.2K550¢-450¢
8Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals450.0%$156.5K450¢-350¢
9Extra Innings450.0%450¢-350¢
10Spread -1.5250.0%$9.6K250¢-150¢
11Spread -2.50.0%100¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 5 at 3:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 5, 2026

  • 08:29 PM
    ACacct-5
    $0.60

    Sold 5 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.12

  • 08:29 PM
    CACavaSoTasty
    $4.25

    Bought 5 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.85

  • 08:29 PM
    BABayStreetBoys
    $2.89

    Bought 3.71 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 at 0.78

  • 08:29 PM
    GRgreyhog
    $5.00

    Bought 5 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 1

  • 08:29 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 5 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 1

  • 08:27 PM
    TOtorta.tech
    $3.45

    Bought 5 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 at 0.69

  • 08:27 PM
    TOtorta.tech
    $3.45

    Bought 5 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 at 0.69

  • 08:26 PM
    TOtorta.tech
    $10.35

    Bought 15 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 at 0.69

  • 08:26 PM
    WIwinwinwinnerb
    $9.90

    Bought 10 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 0.99

  • 08:26 PM
    YEyeagerist
    $9.90

    Bought 10 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 0.99

  • 08:26 PM
    WHwhynotchocolate
    $9.90

    Bought 10 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.99

  • 08:25 PM
    1W1winstreak1
    $2.96

    Bought 4 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 at 0.74

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
NiFengFanPan
Event PnL
-$160.36
Volume
$13,723.67
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
CO2
comon119
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$9,999.82
Positions
Kansas City Royals
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$70.01
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Kansas City Royals
HE4
Herdonia
Event PnL
-$28.11
Volume
$5,623.68
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$70.75
Volume
$4,716.78
Positions
Kansas City Royals
ML6
mlbman
Event PnL
-$31.64
Volume
$2,109.60
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
AN7
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$24.18
Volume
$1,585.27
Positions
Kansas City Royals
GA8
gabmlergao
Event PnL
-$7.14
Volume
$1,428.57
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals"?

As of the latest update, O/U 6.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by O/U 5.5 at 9,950% and Spread -1.5 at 8,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $337.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started