
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,300% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,000%, while O/U 7.5 sits in third with 5,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $193.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,300%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,300¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,000¢.
- O/U 7.5 (5,150%): Sitting in third place with a 5,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 7.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes NRFI (4,800%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (4,700%), and New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays (4,450%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 7300.0% | — | 7300¢ | -7200¢ |
| 2 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 6000.0% | $328 | 6000¢ | -5900¢ |
| 3 | O/U 7.5 | 5150.0% | $48.1K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 4 | NRFI | 4800.0% | $6.6K | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 5 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 4700.0% | $322 | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 6 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | 4450.0% | $127.4K | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 7 | O/U 8.5 | 4350.0% | $4.3K | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 8 | Spread -1.5 | 3650.0% | $2.8K | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 9 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 10 | Spread -1.5 | 3350.0% | $2.8K | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 11 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 3350.0% | $435 | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 12 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 13 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 2450.0% | $435 | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 14 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 2350.0% | $63 | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 15 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 1500.0% | $63 | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 16 | Extra Innings | 850.0% | — | 850¢ | -750¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 7 at 6:40PM ET:
This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.
This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jul 7, 2026
- 08:42 PM——$7.00
Bought 18.918917 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.37
- 08:41 PMBEBeatYou6$1.50
Bought 2.238804 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.67
- 08:36 PM0X0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf-1722957908185$17.29
Bought 48.02 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.36
- 08:14 PMRARadium0$50.00
Bought 76.923074 New York Yankees for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.65
- 08:14 PMRARadium0$50.00
Bought 108.695651 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.46
- 08:12 PM0X0x0604d985aB3D205C7A2B4D4ccd1dA8655D9a8A8F-1760268374438$1.00
Bought 2.941175 New York Yankees for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.34
- 08:11 PMVEVeryLucky888$3.30
Bought 5 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.66
- 08:11 PMTHTheRealDeal123$82.18
Bought 124.52 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.66
- 08:09 PM0X0x2a0A5fFe13288E3Eab9aa3e19E64b62F19De75Ac-1770131083837$40.00
Bought 60.606058 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.66
- 08:07 PMWPwPSGw$12.00
Bought 21.81818 Tampa Bay Rays for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.55
- 08:04 PMARArbJohn$76.14
Bought 165.521738 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.46
- 08:04 PMJOJonas0127$3.47
Bought 6.31 Tampa Bay Rays for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.55
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays"?
As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,300% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 6,000% and O/U 7.5 at 5,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $193.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
