New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

$177.8K Vol
Aug 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Philadelphia Phillies 55.5%
New York Yankees 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,800% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 5,250%, while O/U 7.5 sits in third with 4,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $177.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,800%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,800¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 5,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,250¢.
  • O/U 7.5 (4,850%): Sitting in third place with a 4,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 7.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes NRFI (4,550%), New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies (4,350%), and O/U 8.5 (4,150%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.56800.0%6800¢-6700¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
3O/U 7.54850.0%$3.9K4850¢-4750¢
4NRFI4550.0%$984550¢-4450¢
5New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies4350.0%$165.6K4350¢-4250¢
6O/U 8.54150.0%$4.9K4150¢-4050¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 4.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
8Spread -1.53650.0%$133650¢-3550¢
9Spread -1.53350.0%$133350¢-3250¢
10O/U 9.53250.0%$423250¢-3150¢
111st 5 Innings Spread -1.53000.0%$253000¢-2900¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 5.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
13Spread -2.52650.0%2650¢-2550¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -1.52300.0%$252300¢-2200¢
15Spread -2.52300.0%2300¢-2200¢
161st 5 Innings O/U 6.51850.0%$51850¢-1750¢
17Extra Innings800.0%800¢-700¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 24 at 6:45PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 24, 2026

  • 07:52 AM
    $73.53

    Bought 129 Under for New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 at 0.57

  • 07:51 AM
    LIliubov21
    $10.00

    Bought 18.518517 Philadelphia Phillies for New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.54

  • 07:50 AM
    $58.05

    Bought 129 Over for New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 at 0.45

  • 07:32 AM
    IAianamay1
    $3.55

    Bought 5 Philadelphia Phillies for 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.71

  • 07:23 AM
    0X0x1E4b57F70eA89F197213335c5Eaa0A04
    $7.84

    Bought 14.518517 Philadelphia Phillies for New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.54

  • 07:22 AM
    DEdeezylabs
    $9.96

    Bought 18.44 Philadelphia Phillies for New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.54

  • 07:20 AM
    BYby-hongming
    $1.63

    Bought 3.018517 Philadelphia Phillies for New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.54

  • 07:20 AM
    0X0x1C34dF1c0b191e499F55C868e67103aeB58C02CD-1777170264697
    $4.95

    Bought 9.166665 Philadelphia Phillies for New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.54

  • 07:20 AM
    VKVkey5
    $3.60

    Bought 6.666665 Philadelphia Phillies for New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.54

  • 07:20 AM
    $4.91

    Bought 9.09 Philadelphia Phillies for New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.54

  • 07:20 AM
    JEJen-01
    $8.10

    Bought 15 Philadelphia Phillies for New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.54

  • 07:20 AM
    ZZZzzz87
    $6,948.19

    Bought 15104.76 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PL1
pleaseplease123
Event PnL
-$67.19
Volume
$115,843.08
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
WR2
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$169.84
Volume
$33,847.90
Positions
New York YankeesUnder
N33
N34
Event PnL
-$121.00
Volume
$24,204.55
Positions
New York Yankees
ZZ4
Zzzz87
Event PnL
+$79.25
Volume
$20,149.99
Positions
New York Yankees
MO5
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$112.57
Volume
$7,555.08
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
SP6
sportmaster777
Event PnL
+$27.05
Volume
$5,409.30
Positions
New York Yankees
UM7
umeax
Event PnL
+$17.90
Volume
$5,063.93
Positions
Philadelphia Phillies
SE8
sentrio
Event PnL
+$12.27
Volume
$4,765.02
Positions
New York Yankees

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,800% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 5,250% and O/U 7.5 at 4,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $177.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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