New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves - Player Props

$180 Vol
Jul 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 53.0%
Under 47.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Nolan McLean: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,300% chance of winning. Austin Riley: Home Runs O/U 0.5 follows in second place at 5,200%, while Martín Pérez: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $180, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Nolan McLean: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (5,300%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Nolan McLean: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,300¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $100 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Austin Riley: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (5,200%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Austin Riley: Home Runs O/U 0.5 maintains a 5,200% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,200¢.
  • Martín Pérez: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Martín Pérez: Strikeouts O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Bo Bichette: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,900%), Drake Baldwin: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,900%), and Francisco Lindor: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Mark Vientos: Home Runs O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Nolan McLean: Strikeouts O/U 5.55300.0%$1005300¢-5200¢
2Austin Riley: Home Runs O/U 0.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
3Martín Pérez: Strikeouts O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Bo Bichette: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
5Drake Baldwin: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
6Francisco Lindor: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
7Mark Vientos: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
8Mauricio Dubón: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
9Michael Harris II: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
10Ozzie Albies: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
11Austin Riley: Home Runs O/U 1.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
12Carson Benge: Home Runs O/U 1.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
13Dominic Smith: Home Runs O/U 1.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
14Nolan McLean: Strikeouts O/U 4.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
15Martín Pérez: Strikeouts O/U 4.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
16Martín Pérez: Strikeouts O/U 3.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
17Nolan McLean: Strikeouts O/U 6.52450.0%$752450¢-2350¢
18Matt Olson: Home Runs O/U 0.52000.0%2000¢-1900¢
19Juan Soto: Home Runs O/U 0.51900.0%1900¢-1800¢
20Michael Harris II: Home Runs O/U 0.51650.0%1650¢-1550¢
21Drake Baldwin: Home Runs O/U 0.51600.0%1600¢-1500¢
22Francisco Lindor: Home Runs O/U 0.51600.0%1600¢-1500¢
23Mark Vientos: Home Runs O/U 0.51600.0%1600¢-1500¢
24Bo Bichette: Home Runs O/U 0.51300.0%1300¢-1200¢
25Ozzie Albies: Home Runs O/U 0.51300.0%1300¢-1200¢
26Dominic Smith: Home Runs O/U 0.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
27Carson Benge: Home Runs O/U 0.5850.0%850¢-750¢
28Mauricio Dubón: Home Runs O/U 0.5800.0%800¢-700¢
29Matt Olson: Home Runs O/U 1.5650.0%650¢-550¢
30Juan Soto: Home Runs O/U 1.5350.0%350¢-250¢
31Francisco Alvarez: Home Runs O/U 0.5150.0%150¢-50¢
32Francisco Alvarez: Home Runs O/U 1.555.0%$555¢45¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 5 at 12:30 PM ET.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Nolan McLean: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,300% win probability, followed by Austin Riley: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 5,200% and Martín Pérez: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $180, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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