New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

$1.8M Vol
Jul 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
New York Mets 100.0%
Atlanta Braves 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 18.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 19.5 sits in third with 1,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.8M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.4M in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 18.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 18.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 19.5 (1,000%): Sitting in third place with a 1,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 19.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Extra Innings (250%), Spread -6.5 (45%), and Spread -3.5 (40%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves9995.0%$1.4M9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 18.59995.0%$109995¢-9895¢
3O/U 19.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
4Extra Innings250.0%$15250¢-150¢
5Spread -6.545.0%45¢55¢
6Spread -3.540.0%40¢60¢
7Spread -1.55.0%$129.6K95¢
8Spread -1.55.0%$129.6K95¢
9Spread -2.55.0%$15795¢
10Spread -2.55.0%$15795¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 5 at 12:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 5, 2026

  • 08:37 PM
    DRdrted
    $0.90

    Sold 5 Atlanta Braves for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.18

  • 08:36 PM
    SWswisstony
    $402.78

    Bought 1830.81818 Atlanta Braves for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.22

  • 08:32 PM
    RNRN1
    $3.40

    Bought 5 Under for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5 at 0.68

  • 08:30 PM
    WRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r
    $197.34

    Bought 299 New York Mets for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.66

  • 08:30 PM
    RNRN1
    $257.40

    Bought 390 Under for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5 at 0.66

  • 08:30 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 2.8169 Under for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5 at 0.71

  • 08:29 PM
    SWswisstony
    $1.30

    Bought 2.06 Under for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5 at 0.63

  • 08:29 PM
    FUfueusus11
    $82.54

    Bought 131.014918 Under for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5 at 0.63

  • 08:28 PM
    LILimitedLiability
    $5.58

    Bought 7.86111 New York Mets for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.71

  • 08:27 PM
    LILimitedLiability
    $7.45

    Bought 16.5625 Over for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5 at 0.45

  • 08:27 PM
    $1.50

    Bought 5 Atlanta Braves for Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) at 0.3

  • 08:27 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $5.10

    Bought 9.45 Under for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5 at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
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LL2
lluucckkyy
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2C4
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LA5
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$61,455.81
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WA6
Wannac
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-$178.36
Volume
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FE7
Feromont
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-$373.86
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AN8
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$523.60
Volume
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Positions
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves"?

As of the latest update, New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 18.5 at 9,995% and O/U 19.5 at 1,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.8M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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