Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros

$140.8K Vol
Jul 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Houston Astros 57.5%
Minnesota Twins 42.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,550% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,200%, while O/U 8.5 sits in third with 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $140.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,200%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,200% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,200¢.
  • O/U 8.5 (4,950%): Sitting in third place with a 4,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (4,950%), NRFI (4,900%), and Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros (4,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57550.0%7550¢-7450¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.56200.0%6200¢-6100¢
3O/U 8.54950.0%$10.6K4950¢-4850¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 4.54950.0%$44950¢-4850¢
5NRFI4900.0%$94900¢-4800¢
6Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros4250.0%$125.9K4250¢-4150¢
7Spread -1.53850.0%$3.7K3850¢-3750¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 5.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
91st 5 Innings Spread -1.53450.0%$1.2K3450¢-3350¢
10Spread -1.53250.0%$3.7K3250¢-3150¢
111st 5 Innings O/U 6.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -1.52650.0%$1.2K2650¢-2550¢
131st 5 Innings Spread -2.52350.0%$1612350¢-2250¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -2.51600.0%$1611600¢-1500¢
15Extra Innings700.0%$5700¢-600¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros, scheduled for July 1 at 8:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 1, 2026

  • 08:59 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.225805 Minnesota Twins for Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 08:52 PM
    HUhuntermax1224
    $33.29

    Bought 65.274508 Under for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.51

  • 08:52 PM
    VOVokuey3
    $1.19

    Bought 2.333332 Under for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.51

  • 08:52 PM
    EOeok788
    $100.00

    Bought 200 Over for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.5

  • 08:33 PM
    RORomerzn
    $30.00

    Bought 51.724135 Houston Astros for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros at 0.58

  • 08:32 PM
    0X0x55afeAc62cDD6e84268dA86f33A383081fF38407-1772555590902
    $33.00

    Bought 43.42105 Minnesota Twins for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) at 0.76

  • 08:32 PM
    0X0xffB1816D69154C49fbfB46e206B59eed0CC1F54e-1765295967325
    $11.75

    Bought 20.25 Houston Astros for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros at 0.58

  • 08:28 PM
    MRMr.FranklinSaint
    $10.23

    Bought 16.5 Minnesota Twins for Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 08:19 PM
    0X0x7a7A4F4b69D51FEfCcc592FBb8163C829782daF1-1782841049058
    $2.00

    Bought 4.651161 Minnesota Twins for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros at 0.43

  • 08:12 PM
    FOfor1000k
    $10.00

    Bought 20 Over for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.5

  • 08:02 PM
    THThesay
    $10.00

    Bought 17.241378 Houston Astros for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros at 0.58

  • 07:48 PM
    IAIamthelaw
    $10.00

    Bought 20 Over for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.5

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DV1
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$109.39
Volume
$7,292.50
Positions
Houston Astros
582
0x58b9…2983
Event PnL
-$74.97
Volume
$4,998.30
Positions
Minnesota Twins
SQ3
SquatFT
Event PnL
-$55.00
Volume
$2,200.00
Positions
Minnesota Twins
EL4
elementz2
Event PnL
-$5.56
Volume
$1,111.00
Positions
Houston Astros
TR5
TraderXI
Event PnL
-$15.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
Minnesota Twins
5B6
0x5b62…1989
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$999.99
Positions
Houston Astros
BA7
Batigan
Event PnL
-$15.00
Volume
$999.97
Positions
Minnesota Twins
HA8
haslii
Event PnL
+$14.80
Volume
$986.84
Positions
Houston Astros

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,550% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 6,200% and O/U 8.5 at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $140.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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