Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

$248.7K Vol
Aug 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Kansas City Royals 80.5%
Detroit Tigers 19.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $248.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $10.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (9,995%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 (9,995%), and 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 (9,995%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 7.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 8.59995.0%$10.8K9995¢-9895¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.59995.0%$349995¢-9895¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 3.59995.0%$4009995¢-9895¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 4.59995.0%$4219995¢-9895¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 5.59995.0%$4099995¢-9895¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 6.59995.0%$889995¢-9895¢
7O/U 7.59995.0%$20.2K9995¢-9895¢
8Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers6450.0%$185.3K6450¢-6350¢
9O/U 9.55550.0%$14.5K5550¢-5450¢
10O/U 10.55400.0%$1975400¢-5300¢
11Extra Innings5000.0%$905000¢-4900¢
12O/U 11.52750.0%$1.1K2750¢-2650¢
13Spread -1.52050.0%$5.4K2050¢-1950¢
14Spread -1.5950.0%$5.4K950¢-850¢
15Spread -2.5950.0%$6.2K950¢-850¢
16Spread -2.5350.0%$6.2K350¢-250¢
171st 5 Innings Spread -1.545.0%$1445¢55¢
181st 5 Innings Spread -1.545.0%$1445¢55¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for July 26 at 1:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 26, 2026

  • 08:04 PM
    VKVkey5
    $10.75

    Bought 12.5 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) at 0.86

  • 08:04 PM
    0X0x466658e9A04E4586fb0ea46abF0a2Fd8902F3A55-1774907247826
    $4.08

    Bought 24 Detroit Tigers for Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) at 0.17

  • 08:04 PM
    REremora-trader
    $1.72

    Bought 2 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) at 0.86

  • 08:04 PM
    REremora-trader
    $1.72

    Bought 2 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) at 0.86

  • 08:04 PM
    CUcurie
    $889.78

    Bought 5234 Detroit Tigers for Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) at 0.17

  • 08:04 PM
    CUcurie
    $6.48

    Bought 27 Over for Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5 at 0.24

  • 08:01 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $25.15

    Bought 52.39 Detroit Tigers for Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) at 0.48

  • 08:01 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $45.93

    Bought 97.72 Detroit Tigers for Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) at 0.47

  • 08:01 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $72.54

    Bought 151.12 Detroit Tigers for Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) at 0.48

  • 08:01 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $71.03

    Bought 151.12 Detroit Tigers for Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) at 0.47

  • 08:01 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $34.09

    Bought 72.54 Detroit Tigers for Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) at 0.47

  • 08:01 PM
    VKVkey5
    $1.21

    Bought 2.469386 Under for Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
Feromont
Event PnL
-$11,723.58
Volume
$36,000.00
Positions
Detroit Tigers
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$12,285.80
Volume
$21,170.05
Positions
Kansas City RoyalsUnderDetroit Tigers+1
AN3
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$9.73
Volume
$19,593.58
Positions
Kansas City RoyalsYes
CO4
comon119
Event PnL
-$2,621.77
Volume
$14,972.98
Positions
Detroit Tigers
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$3,741.58
Volume
$11,253.61
Positions
Detroit TigersUnder
586
0x58b9…2983
Event PnL
+$890.00
Volume
$7,999.98
Positions
OverOverKansas City Royals
SO7
Soarin22
Event PnL
+$13.90
Volume
$7,402.19
Positions
Kansas City Royals
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$1,770.16
Volume
$6,032.61
Positions
Kansas City RoyalsOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers"?

As of the latest update, O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 9,995% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $248.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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