Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs

$72.5K Vol
Jul 29, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Chicago Cubs 52.5%
Detroit Tigers 47.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,100% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 5,700%, while O/U 7.5 sits in third with 5,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $72.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,700%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 5,700% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,700¢.
  • O/U 7.5 (5,250%): Sitting in third place with a 5,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 7.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs (4,750%), NRFI (4,750%), and 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (4,400%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57100.0%7100¢-7000¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.55700.0%5700¢-5600¢
3O/U 7.55250.0%$95250¢-5150¢
4Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs4750.0%$16.0K4750¢-4650¢
5NRFI4750.0%$4194750¢-4650¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 4.54400.0%$1934400¢-4300¢
7O/U 8.54350.0%$53.9K4350¢-4250¢
8Spread -1.53500.0%$4423500¢-3400¢
9Spread -1.53500.0%$4423500¢-3400¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 5.53350.0%$303350¢-3250¢
111st 5 Innings Spread -1.52950.0%$212950¢-2850¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -1.52650.0%$212650¢-2550¢
131st 5 Innings O/U 6.52450.0%2450¢-2350¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -2.51750.0%$711750¢-1650¢
151st 5 Innings Spread -2.51600.0%$711600¢-1500¢
16Extra Innings950.0%950¢-850¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for July 21 at 8:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game.

This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 21, 2026

  • 07:46 PM
    DUdusty.yyy
    $2.64

    Sold 5.61 Detroit Tigers for Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs at 0.47

  • 07:45 PM
    DUdusty.yyy
    $5.41

    Bought 11.270832 Detroit Tigers for Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs at 0.48

  • 07:45 PM
    KRKrang
    $500.00

    Bought 943.396225 Chicago Cubs for Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs at 0.53

  • 07:21 PM
    LILightSword707
    $30.00

    Bought 52.631576 Under for Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.57

  • 07:08 PM
    GGGG-Botman
    $2.40

    Bought 5.454544 Over for Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.44

  • 07:07 PM
    0X0x8605679A98a2C0730ff4f8aFc282a351601A18a1-1770361502280
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 Chicago Cubs for Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs at 0.53

  • 07:05 PM
    RERedcafeManUtd
    $6.00

    Bought 13.636362 Over for Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.44

  • 07:02 PM
    MAManish1024
    $2.06

    Bought 3.62 Under for Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.57

  • 07:01 PM
    KWKw1998
    $10.00

    Bought 17.543858 Under for Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.57

  • 06:58 PM
    JOJonas0127
    $4.20

    Bought 9.545453 Over for Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.44

  • 06:53 PM
    OKoknah
    $2.25

    Bought 5 Over for Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.45

  • 06:53 PM
    ANanon9876hima
    $5.00

    Bought 11.11 Over for Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 at 0.45

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

ST1
steevenseakael
Event PnL
+$339.59
Volume
$19,200.00
Positions
Under
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$147.69
Volume
$13,950.18
Positions
OverChicago CubsDetroit Tigers+1
MY3
MymanIvan
Event PnL
-$54.46
Volume
$10,891.45
Positions
Chicago CubsOver
MO4
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$8.77
Volume
$10,642.59
Positions
UnderUnder
CO5
comon119
Event PnL
-$51.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Under
BO6
boomingtest
Event PnL
-$25.20
Volume
$5,040.00
Positions
Over
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$29.63
Volume
$4,555.65
Positions
Detroit TigersOverUnder+1
A68
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
-$3.34
Volume
$3,023.52
Positions
OverDetroit Tigers

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,100% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 5,700% and O/U 7.5 at 5,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $72.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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