Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians - Player Props

Jul 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 85.5%
Over 14.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Tanner Bibee: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,600% chance of winning. Gabriel Arias: Home Runs O/U 0.5 follows in second place at 5,200%, while Cooper Ingle: Home Runs O/U 0.5 sits in third with 5,100%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Tanner Bibee: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (5,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Tanner Bibee: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Gabriel Arias: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (5,200%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Gabriel Arias: Home Runs O/U 0.5 maintains a 5,200% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,200¢.
  • Cooper Ingle: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (5,100%): Sitting in third place with a 5,100% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cooper Ingle: Home Runs O/U 0.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Braden Montgomery: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%), Chase DeLauter: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%), and Kyle Manzardo: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Kyle Teel: Home Runs O/U 1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Tanner Bibee: Strikeouts O/U 4.55600.0%5600¢-5500¢
2Gabriel Arias: Home Runs O/U 0.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
3Cooper Ingle: Home Runs O/U 0.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
4Braden Montgomery: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Chase DeLauter: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Kyle Manzardo: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Kyle Teel: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Sam Antonacci: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Travis Bazzana: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Tanner Bibee: Strikeouts O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Chase Meidroth: Home Runs O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Chase Meidroth: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Cooper Ingle: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Gabriel Arias: Home Runs O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Andrew Benintendi: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
16Colson Montgomery: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
17Kahlil Watson: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
18Miguel Vargas: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
19Brayan Rocchio: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
20Tanner Bibee: Strikeouts O/U 3.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
21Colson Montgomery: Home Runs O/U 0.51750.0%1750¢-1650¢
22Kyle Manzardo: Home Runs O/U 0.51500.0%1500¢-1400¢
23Miguel Vargas: Home Runs O/U 0.51500.0%1500¢-1400¢
24Andrew Benintendi: Home Runs O/U 0.51450.0%1450¢-1350¢
25Chase DeLauter: Home Runs O/U 0.51250.0%1250¢-1150¢
26Kahlil Watson: Home Runs O/U 0.51100.0%1100¢-1000¢
27Sam Antonacci: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
28Travis Bazzana: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
29Braden Montgomery: Home Runs O/U 0.5900.0%900¢-800¢
30Kyle Teel: Home Runs O/U 0.5900.0%900¢-800¢
31Brayan Rocchio: Home Runs O/U 0.5750.0%750¢-650¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 5 at 2:00 PM ET.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Tanner Bibee: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,600% win probability, followed by Gabriel Arias: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 5,200% and Cooper Ingle: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 5,100%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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