Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

$477.2K Vol
Jul 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Chicago White Sox 68.5%
Cleveland Guardians 31.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 9.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 12.5 follows in second place at 9,950%, while O/U 14.5 sits in third with 7,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $477.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 9.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 9.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $260 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 12.5 (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 12.5 maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • O/U 14.5 (7,700%): Sitting in third place with a 7,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 14.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians (7,000%), Spread -2.5 (5,000%), and Spread -3.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 13.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 9.59995.0%$2609995¢-9895¢
2O/U 12.59950.0%$3469950¢-9850¢
3O/U 14.57700.0%$367700¢-7600¢
4Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians7000.0%$420.8K7000¢-6900¢
5Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7O/U 13.55000.0%$1105000¢-4900¢
8O/U 15.55000.0%$155000¢-4900¢
9O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Extra Innings4950.0%$284950¢-4850¢
12Spread -1.53800.0%$163800¢-3700¢
13Spread -1.51450.0%$161450¢-1350¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -1.545.0%$10145¢55¢
151st 5 Innings Spread -1.545.0%$10145¢55¢
161st 5 Innings Spread -2.545.0%$4045¢55¢
171st 5 Innings Spread -2.545.0%$4045¢55¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 5 at 2:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 5, 2026

  • 08:27 PM
    0X0x6dD1fD6086Ed3358d7deDd9626FB1665D1601d2A-1763253996420
    $1.00

    Bought 1.11111 Chicago White Sox for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.9

  • 08:27 PM
    0X0xB224d50CA6C1789B248FE045f64f0aC15755DFa6-1771033458469
    $20.00

    Sold 20 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 1

  • 08:26 PM
    SISirius108
    $50.78

    Sold 50.78 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 1

  • 08:26 PM
    CEceshi2hao
    $4.50

    Bought 5 Chicago White Sox for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.9

  • 08:26 PM
    TUturtle404
    $11.22

    Sold 11.22 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 1

  • 08:24 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $0.01

    Bought 0.04 Cleveland Guardians for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.22

  • 08:24 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 5 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 1

  • 08:24 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 5 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 1

  • 08:24 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 5 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 1

  • 08:24 PM
    $1.09

    Bought 4.954544 Cleveland Guardians for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.22

  • 08:24 PM
    USUser7429
    $1.65

    Bought 5 Cleveland Guardians for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) at 0.33

  • 08:23 PM
    ENentropy-py
    $4.95

    Bought 5 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 0.99

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
NiFengFanPan
Event PnL
-$86.39
Volume
$17,282.22
Positions
Chicago White Sox
4F2
0x4f2
Event PnL
+$51.35
Volume
$10,269.45
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
CO3
comon119
Event PnL
-$250.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
TE4
texaskid
Event PnL
+$16.31
Volume
$3,262.12
Positions
Chicago White Sox
HE5
Herdonia
Event PnL
+$15.95
Volume
$3,240.77
Positions
Chicago White Sox
0A6
0x0A77exmm
Event PnL
+$35.30
Volume
$1,411.91
Positions
Chicago White Sox
A67
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
+$3.90
Volume
$1,073.31
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
SW8
swisstony
Event PnL
+$25.26
Volume
$1,010.40
Positions
Chicago White Sox

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians"?

As of the latest update, O/U 9.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 12.5 at 9,950% and O/U 14.5 at 7,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $477.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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