Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

$521K Vol
Jul 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Chicago White Sox 72.5%
Cleveland Guardians 27.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 6.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 5.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 7.5 sits in third with 8,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $521K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 6.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 6.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $10.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 5.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 5.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 7.5 (8,750%): Sitting in third place with a 8,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 7.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians (8,650%), Spread -1.5 (7,350%), and O/U 8.5 (7,100%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 6.59995.0%$10.6K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 5.59995.0%$729995¢-9895¢
3O/U 7.58750.0%$3.6K8750¢-8650¢
4Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians8650.0%$377.4K8650¢-8550¢
5Spread -1.57350.0%$9.0K7350¢-7250¢
6O/U 8.57100.0%$97.9K7100¢-7000¢
7Spread -2.55650.0%$515650¢-5550¢
8O/U 9.55450.0%$6.5K5450¢-5350¢
9Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Extra Innings4950.0%$54950¢-4850¢
11O/U 10.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
12Spread -3.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢
131st 5 Innings O/U 5.5995.0%$380995¢-895¢
14Spread -1.5500.0%$9.0K500¢-400¢
15Spread -2.5400.0%$51400¢-300¢
161st 5 Innings Spread -1.550.0%$43450¢50¢
171st 5 Innings Spread -1.55.0%$43495¢
181st 5 Innings Spread -2.55.0%$32195¢
191st 5 Innings Spread -2.55.0%$32195¢
201st 5 Innings O/U 6.55.0%$1.1K95¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 2 at 6:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 2, 2026

  • 08:37 PM
    LUlumina25
    $5.74

    Sold 9.26 Cleveland Guardians for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 08:36 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921567 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 0.51

  • 08:34 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 4 Under for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 0.5

  • 08:33 PM
    0X0x87A80EB7A2eE12E4bAcDE856B54449BD23cceb35-1779233611656
    $3.01

    Bought 6.02 Under for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 0.5

  • 08:18 PM
    ALalphafeed-t
    $4.10

    Bought 5 Cleveland Guardians for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) at 0.82

  • 08:18 PM
    NONottot
    $14.98

    Bought 62.4316 Chicago White Sox for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) at 0.24

  • 08:18 PM
    NONottot
    $21.00

    Bought 60 Chicago White Sox for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.35

  • 08:18 PM
    TITier0
    $5.20

    Bought 10.4 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.5

  • 08:18 PM
    0X0x8F5B2211C8fb55d13656ecA247503b3D6D3Aa29B-1775878047808
    $3.50

    Bought 6.862744 Cleveland Guardians for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians at 0.51

  • 08:17 PM
    NONottot
    $3.75

    Bought 15.63 Chicago White Sox for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) at 0.24

  • 08:17 PM
    NONottot
    $21.00

    Bought 60 Chicago White Sox for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.35

  • 08:16 PM
    NONottot
    $14.39

    Bought 59.958332 Chicago White Sox for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) at 0.24

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WA1
Wannac
Event PnL
+$18.88
Volume
$49,999.74
Positions
Chicago White Sox
3D2
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$28,930.25
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
AL3
alaskabaked
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$27,761.76
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
OD4
Odzfx
Event PnL
+$306.34
Volume
$20,422.68
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
NI5
NiFengFanPan
Event PnL
-$76.23
Volume
$15,249.02
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
LL6
lluucckkyy
Event PnL
+$75.00
Volume
$14,999.89
Positions
Chicago White Sox
DV7
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$10,948.00
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
FI8
FifaFred
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Chicago White Sox

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians"?

As of the latest update, O/U 6.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 5.5 at 9,995% and O/U 7.5 at 8,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $521K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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