Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

$372.9K Vol
Jul 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Baltimore Orioles 55.5%
Chicago White Sox 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, NRFI is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 6,700%, while O/U 10.5 sits in third with 5,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $372.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • NRFI (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, NRFI is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -1.5 (6,700%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -1.5 maintains a 6,700% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,700¢.
  • O/U 10.5 (5,250%): Sitting in third place with a 5,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 10.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%), 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%), and 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1NRFI9950.0%$1.8K9950¢-9850¢
2Spread -1.56700.0%$71.2K6700¢-6600¢
3O/U 10.55250.0%$112.7K5250¢-5150¢
41st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$1225000¢-4900¢
51st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$1225000¢-4900¢
61st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$2325000¢-4900¢
71st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$2325000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 3.55000.0%$75000¢-4900¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 4.55000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
111st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%$1485000¢-4900¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%$535000¢-4900¢
13Extra Innings4950.0%$54950¢-4850¢
14Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles4850.0%$189.3K4850¢-4750¢
15O/U 11.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
16Spread -1.53550.0%$71.2K3550¢-3450¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for June 30 at 6:35PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:57 PM
    CEceteris-paribus
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921567 Under for Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 at 0.51

  • 08:56 PM
    ASAsher.Dong
    $15.31

    Bought 30.61 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 at 0.5

  • 08:56 PM
    $4.73

    Bought 9.46 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 at 0.5

  • 08:56 PM
    SIsietechips
    $2,500.00

    Bought 4901.960783 Under for Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 at 0.51

  • 08:42 PM
    DODOGOK1NG
    $10.50

    Bought 35 Baltimore Orioles for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) at 0.3

  • 08:42 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $88.56

    Bought 123 Chicago White Sox for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) at 0.72

  • 08:38 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $759.37

    Bought 1852.13 Baltimore Orioles for Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) at 0.41

  • 08:36 PM
    3D3dp
    $2.92

    Bought 6.636362 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles at 0.44

  • 08:34 PM
    ICic4cream
    $576.84

    Bought 1012 Baltimore Orioles for Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles at 0.57

  • 08:30 PM
    SWsw8yhpx2jvix
    $10.00

    Bought 22.727271 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles at 0.44

  • 08:28 PM
    0X0x87A80EB7A2eE12E4bAcDE856B54449BD23cceb35-1779233611656
    $4.50

    Bought 10.23 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles at 0.44

  • 08:28 PM
    0X0x87A80EB7A2eE12E4bAcDE856B54449BD23cceb35-1779233611656
    $2.89

    Bought 5.67 Under for Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

LL1
lluucckkyy
Event PnL
-$150.00
Volume
$19,999.96
Positions
Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox
TE2
texaskid
Event PnL
+$83.31
Volume
$16,661.95
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
IC3
ic4cream
Event PnL
+$132.64
Volume
$8,505.00
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
DV4
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$114.84
Volume
$7,656.00
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
HE5
Herdonia
Event PnL
+$101.69
Volume
$6,868.82
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
586
0x58b9…2983
Event PnL
-$73.76
Volume
$5,704.76
Positions
Chicago White SoxOver
867
0x86fb…03d4
Event PnL
-$68.18
Volume
$4,545.45
Positions
Chicago White Sox
TC8
TCA
Event PnL
-$82.50
Volume
$3,300.00
Positions
Chicago White Sox

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles"?

As of the latest update, NRFI leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by Spread -1.5 at 6,700% and O/U 10.5 at 5,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $372.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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