Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers

$396.9K Vol
Jul 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Milwaukee Brewers 65.5%
Cincinnati Reds 34.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,150% chance of winning. O/U 6.5 follows in second place at 5,550%, while Spread -1.5 sits in third with 4,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $396.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $81 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 6.5 (5,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 6.5 maintains a 5,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,550¢.
  • Spread -1.5 (4,550%): Sitting in third place with a 4,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (4,400%), O/U 7.5 (4,250%), and NRFI (3,650%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.56150.0%$816150¢-6050¢
2O/U 6.55550.0%$83.9K5550¢-5450¢
3Spread -1.54550.0%$27.2K4550¢-4450¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 3.54400.0%$4.6K4400¢-4300¢
5O/U 7.54250.0%$13.0K4250¢-4150¢
6NRFI3650.0%$46.6K3650¢-3550¢
71st 5 Innings Spread -1.53600.0%$893600¢-3500¢
8Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers3450.0%$222.4K3450¢-3350¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 4.53350.0%3350¢-3250¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 5.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢
111st 5 Innings Spread -2.52200.0%$202200¢-2100¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 6.51850.0%$341850¢-1750¢
131st 5 Innings Spread -1.51750.0%$891750¢-1650¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -2.5850.0%$20850¢-750¢
15Extra Innings750.0%$5750¢-650¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 2 at 2:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 2, 2026

  • 08:18 AM
    GEgeroi3
    $29.32

    Bought 37.11 Milwaukee Brewers for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) at 0.79

  • 08:18 AM
    GEgeroi3
    $25.06

    Bought 31.72 Milwaukee Brewers for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) at 0.79

  • 08:02 AM
    REre4r4rdc
    $16.25

    Bought 25 Milwaukee Brewers for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.65

  • 08:02 AM
    GDgdhffgdrsfrg
    $9.00

    Bought 25 Cincinnati Reds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.36

  • 07:54 AM
    3434eefefd
    $9.00

    Bought 25 Cincinnati Reds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.36

  • 07:54 AM
    585826frff
    $16.25

    Bought 25 Milwaukee Brewers for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.65

  • 07:50 AM
    MOMontgomery33
    $70.00

    Bought 107.692305 Milwaukee Brewers for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.65

  • 07:49 AM
    GRGrin2049
    $11.00

    Bought 30.555554 Cincinnati Reds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.36

  • 07:47 AM
    VIViejaBruja
    $3.25

    Bought 5 Milwaukee Brewers for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.65

  • 07:47 AM
    VIViejaBruja
    $2.40

    Bought 5 Under for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 at 0.48

  • 07:44 AM
    0X0x309bfD694C95aB2C855Ce507499518728e652dAa-1782454078966
    $0.98

    Sold 1.53 Milwaukee Brewers for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.64

  • 07:44 AM
    0X0x309bfD694C95aB2C855Ce507499518728e652dAa-1782454078966
    $1.00

    Bought 1.53846 Milwaukee Brewers for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.65

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
-$222.22
Volume
$44,443.82
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
VE2
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$45.90
Volume
$13,500.00
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
GA3
gardiner
Event PnL
+$39.35
Volume
$7,869.10
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
BI4
BillBenter2026
Event PnL
-$23.31
Volume
$4,584.00
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
SP5
spivers
Event PnL
-$16.55
Volume
$3,245.00
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
AN6
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$16.30
Volume
$3,195.97
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
CK7
ckw
Event PnL
+$13.85
Volume
$2,738.07
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
PU8
purplegatto
Event PnL
+$38.22
Volume
$2,614.57
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,150% win probability, followed by O/U 6.5 at 5,550% and Spread -1.5 at 4,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $396.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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