Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers

$385.6K Vol
Jul 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Milwaukee Brewers 63.5%
Cincinnati Reds 36.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,250% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 5,250%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 sits in third with 5,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $385.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (5,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 5,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,250¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,150%): Sitting in third place with a 5,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 10.5 (5,050%), 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%), and 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 4.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
4O/U 10.55050.0%$475050¢-4950¢
51st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$1055000¢-4900¢
61st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$1055000¢-4900¢
71st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$1675000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$1675000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%$515000¢-4900¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13O/U 8.54400.0%$8.8K4400¢-4300¢
14Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers3850.0%$348.1K3850¢-3750¢
15Spread -1.53800.0%$16.5K3800¢-3700¢
16Spread -1.53800.0%$16.5K3800¢-3700¢
17O/U 9.53200.0%$12.0K3200¢-3100¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for June 30 at 7:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:41 PM
    BRBrilo85
    $450.00

    Bought 803.571427 Over for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 at 0.56

  • 08:29 PM
    JUJubosaurus9
    $5.74

    Bought 14.717947 Cincinnati Reds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.39

  • 08:29 PM
    0X0xeDDB3218FA9F4Ea44408F4FF9eB562CabfB7A8fe-1776094514668
    $2.73

    Bought 7 Cincinnati Reds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.39

  • 08:28 PM
    JUJubosaurus9
    $7.83

    Bought 13.736841 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:28 PM
    0X0x87A80EB7A2eE12E4bAcDE856B54449BD23cceb35-1779233611656
    $1.64

    Bought 4.205127 Cincinnati Reds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.39

  • 08:27 PM
    0E0ev
    $622.16

    Bought 1111 Over for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 at 0.56

  • 08:25 PM
    BIbiguser67
    $6,200.00

    Bought 10000 Milwaukee Brewers for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.62

  • 08:21 PM
    JBJby
    $39.95

    Bought 102.43 Cincinnati Reds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.39

  • 08:15 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 11.363635 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) at 0.44

  • 08:15 PM
    MRMr.FranklinSaint
    $10.26

    Bought 18 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:12 PM
    NENewProtocol
    $12.40

    Bought 20 Milwaukee Brewers for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.62

  • 08:09 PM
    OBobed-440
    $29.64

    Bought 76 Cincinnati Reds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers at 0.39

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

BI1
biguser67
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
LL2
lluucckkyy
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$9,999.94
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
IC3
ic4cream
Event PnL
-$45.30
Volume
$9,060.00
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
5E4
0x5e94…5ba1
Event PnL
+$42.78
Volume
$8,555.55
Positions
Milwaukee Brewers
DI5
Dingwin
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$4,999.96
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$22.45
Volume
$4,500.00
Positions
Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds
AN7
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$13.20
Volume
$4,036.55
Positions
Cincinnati RedsUnder
A68
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
+$6.64
Volume
$3,355.72
Positions
Cincinnati RedsCincinnati RedsUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,250% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 5,250% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 5,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $385.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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