Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels

$302.3K Vol
Jul 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Boston Red Sox 79.5%
Los Angeles Angels 20.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,950% chance of winning. Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 6,850%, while 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 sits in third with 6,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $302.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels (7,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $187.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -1.5 (6,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -1.5 maintains a 6,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,850¢.
  • 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (6,850%): Sitting in third place with a 6,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 8.5 (6,100%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,000%), and 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels7950.0%$187.7K7950¢-7850¢
2Spread -1.56850.0%$98.9K6850¢-6750¢
31st 5 Innings Spread -1.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
4O/U 8.56100.0%$22.2K6100¢-6000¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 4.55000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Spread -4.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10O/U 9.54550.0%$214550¢-4450¢
11Spread -3.54050.0%$4224050¢-3950¢
12O/U 10.53600.0%$1.7K3600¢-3500¢
131st 5 Innings Spread -2.53450.0%$153450¢-3350¢
14O/U 11.52800.0%$1632800¢-2700¢
15Extra Innings950.0%950¢-850¢
161st 5 Innings Spread -1.5500.0%500¢-400¢
171st 5 Innings Spread -2.5400.0%$15400¢-300¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for July 4 at 9:38PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 4, 2026

  • 08:14 PM
    -T-TrustMeBro-
    $3.00

    Bought 4.91803 Boston Red Sox for Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels at 0.61

  • 08:12 PM
    $5.85

    Bought 14.63 Los Angeles Angels for Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels at 0.4

  • 08:10 PM
    0X0x07f84d4a1Dc234E070f04521A850Ce57Dc289FF6-1782844889845
    $8.00

    Bought 20 Los Angeles Angels for Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels at 0.4

  • 08:10 PM
    0X0x07f84d4a1Dc234E070f04521A850Ce57Dc289FF6-1782844889845
    $8.00

    Bought 20 Los Angeles Angels for Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels at 0.4

  • 08:08 PM
    HLHLos
    $2.00

    Bought 3.278687 Boston Red Sox for Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels at 0.61

  • 08:06 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $5.00

    Bought 12.5 Los Angeles Angels for Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels at 0.4

  • 08:06 PM
    -T-TrustMeBro-
    $10.00

    Bought 16.393441 Boston Red Sox for Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels at 0.61

  • 08:05 PM
    -T-TrustMeBro-
    $5.00

    Bought 8.19672 Boston Red Sox for Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels at 0.61

  • 08:01 PM
    BEBeatYou6
    $1.60

    Bought 3.076922 Under for Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 at 0.52

  • 07:57 PM
    BEBeatYou6
    $1.60

    Bought 3.076922 Under for Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 at 0.52

  • 07:56 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $5.00

    Bought 12.5 Los Angeles Angels for Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels at 0.4

  • 07:45 PM
    SIsirluca888
    $5.00

    Bought 12.5 Los Angeles Angels for Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels at 0.4

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$102.35
Volume
$19,631.95
Positions
Boston Red Sox
NI2
NiFengFanPan
Event PnL
-$97.21
Volume
$19,442.50
Positions
Los Angeles Angels
CU3
cumulus33
Event PnL
-$5.50
Volume
$1,099.00
Positions
Los Angeles Angels
SI4
sirluca888
Event PnL
-$5.52
Volume
$935.64
Positions
Los Angeles Angels
AN5
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$2.70
Volume
$540.64
Positions
Boston Red Sox
386
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$2.47
Volume
$495.00
Positions
Boston Red Sox
MA7
mantlemoose
Event PnL
+$2.66
Volume
$473.67
Positions
Los Angeles Angels
A38
0xA384…2625
Event PnL
-$1.64
Volume
$328.00
Positions
Boston Red Sox

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels"?

As of the latest update, Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,950% win probability, followed by Spread -1.5 at 6,850% and 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 at 6,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $302.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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