LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Jul 26, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
EDward Gaming 50.5%
ThunderTalk Gaming 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Odd/Even Total Kills is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,250% chance of winning. Odd/Even Total Kills follows in second place at 5,150%, while O/U 2.5 Games sits in third with 5,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Odd/Even Total Kills is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Odd/Even Total Kills maintains a 5,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,150¢.
  • O/U 2.5 Games (5,050%): Sitting in third place with a 5,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 2.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,050%), Game 1 Winner (5,000%), and Game 2 Winner (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Odd/Even Total Kills5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
2Odd/Even Total Kills5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
3O/U 2.5 Games5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
4Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
5Game 1 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Game 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Match Winner4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
23Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)2550.0%2550¢-2450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 26 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against EDward Gaming.

This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend"?

As of the latest update, Odd/Even Total Kills leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,250% win probability, followed by Odd/Even Total Kills at 5,150% and O/U 2.5 Games at 5,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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